Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
936 FNUS72 KMLB 220909 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for Shockley Plantation...USFS National Weather Service Melbourne FL 509 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 22. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... High pressure begins to build over Florida today, promoting dry and warm conditions at the burn site. Min RH values remain above critical thresholds, falling near 45 percent this afternoon. Light east winds are forecast under 10 mph while occasionally gusting near 15 mph. High temperatures climb into the low 90s. Very good smoke dispersion is expected. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 90. Min humidity........46 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 6500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph. Dispersion index....5 increasing to 73. LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........14 14 7 10 12 13 19 20 18 9 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............71 75 81 83 85 88 89 89 90 89 RH..............97 84 69 65 59 52 48 48 46 47 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT wind gust.6 7 9 10 13 14 14 15 15 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 2.2 3.2 3.9 4.9 5.8 6.4 6.5 6.3 5.5 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.7 8 9 9 7 7 7 7 9 12 Dispersion idx..6 25 38 45 43 46 53 56 64 73 LVORI...........7 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 66. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in the evening. Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph. Dispersion index....68 decreasing to 5. LVORI...............1 increasing to 8. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........6 2 8 10 10 9 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............88 80 75 72 69 68 RH..............49 65 78 86 93 94 20 ft wind......E 6 E 6 E 3 E 2 SE 2 E 1 20 ft wind gust.16 15 12 8 7 5 Mix hgt (ft)....4100 900 500 400 400 400 Transport wind..E 13 E 14 E 12 E 8 SE 7 SE 7 Dispersion idx..68 6 5 4 3 3 LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 7 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 94. Min humidity........40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....7 increasing to 40. LVORI...............9 decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........12 10 8 15 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............68 74 86 92 RH..............96 83 56 44 20 FT wind......E 1G5 SE 2G6 SE 2G8 E 3G10 Mix hgt (ft)....400 1500 4300 6600 Transport wind..SE 6 SE 6 E 5 NE 5 Dispersion idx..2 11 25 37 LVORI...........9 4 2 1 $$ Forecaster...Law Requested by...Tim Woody Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414845.0/MLB .DELDT 05/22/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Timothy.woody2@usda.gov