Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
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849 FXUS64 KMOB 281733 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1233 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 VFR conditions are expected through Wednesday morning. Northwesterly winds at 5 to 10 knots may briefly become southwesterly near this coast this afternoon, otherwise winds become calm or light and variable by early evening. A northeasterly flow at 5 to 10 knots develops Wednesday morning. /29 && .NEAR TERM... (Now through Wednesday) Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 An upper trof over the eastern states amplifies a bit through Wednesday while a series of shortwaves continue to move across the forecast area within the base of the upper trof. A surface ridge extending from the northern Plains into the southeast states shifts a bit eastward through Wednesday. This promotes a primarily dry northerly surface flow, although the slight movement of the surface ridge allows for a southerly flow to develop Wednesday afternoon from near the coast of the western Florida panhandle into southeast Mississippi, aided by the sea breeze. Deep layer moisture begins to improve on Wednesday mainly over the western half of the area which may be sufficient to allow for isolated to possibly scattered convection to develop in the afternoon over southeast Mississippi and much of southwestern Alabama along the weak convergent zone created by the southerly flow. For the rest of today, have made some minor adjustments to daytime highs and dewpoint values. For tonight, lows range from the lower 60s well inland to around 70 at the immediate coast. Highs on Wednesday look to be mostly in the lower 90s. A moderate risk of rip currents this afternoon will be followed by a low risk for tonight and Wednesday. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 69 93 70 88 68 88 71 86 / 0 10 10 20 10 20 20 50 Pensacola 71 92 73 87 71 87 73 84 / 0 10 0 10 10 20 20 40 Destin 71 90 73 87 73 87 74 84 / 0 10 0 10 10 10 10 40 Evergreen 63 93 66 89 65 90 66 87 / 0 20 10 20 20 20 20 50 Waynesboro 65 91 66 87 64 89 67 86 / 0 30 20 30 20 30 20 50 Camden 62 91 66 87 65 88 66 86 / 0 20 10 20 20 20 20 50 Crestview 64 94 66 91 66 91 67 87 / 0 10 0 10 10 20 10 40 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob