489
FNUS74 KMOB 221940
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick 447, 449...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
240 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will continue over the burn site through
tomorrow, with minimum relative humidity values remaining well
above critical thresholds. Transport winds will generally be
southerly through Thursday. Afternoon dispersions will be
generally good on Thursday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Light, patchy fog development
will be possible late tonight into early Thursday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....66.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
LAL.............1   1
Temp............90  89
RH..............44  45
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 5.0
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S
Transp wind spd.12  13
Trans wind dir..S   S
Trans spd (m/s).5   6
Dispersion idx..66  66
LVORI...........1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....66 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  43  47  50  54  58  62  66  69  73  76  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............87  83  80  76  74  72  70  69  68  68  68  68
RH..............48  57  62  69  74  79  84  87  90  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.8   9   8   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW S   SSW S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  12  10  9   9   9   9   8   7   8
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW S   SSW S   S
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   4
Dispersion idx..66  5   6   6   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   4   5   6   7   7   8   8   8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 51.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  57  55  54  52  44  35  27  24  21  18  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  68  71  75  80  83  85  87  88  90  90  90
RH..............97  93  87  76  67  61  55  52  50  47  47  47
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.7 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   12  10  9   9   9   8   8   7   7
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
Dispersion idx..3   8   17  31  37  42  49  53  54  51  47  47
LVORI...........9   8   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...96
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414863.1/MOB
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rodney.landrum@usda.gov