Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Billings, MT
Issued by NWS Billings, MT
103 FXUS65 KBYZ 231950 AFDBYZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Billings MT 150 PM MDT Mon Sep 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... Through Tuesday night... The short term period will be defined by rising heights with a return to above average temperatures. Tomorrow will see temperatures near 80 degrees across the region. With average highs at our climate sites ranging from 69-72, these temperatures are near 10 degrees above average. Tomorrow will feature clear skies and calm winds leading to a pleasant day. Torgerson Wednesday through Monday.... Main forecast concerns are on high temperatures and timing of a ridge break down later this week along with a frontal passage. High forecast confidence regarding a building ridge across the western CONUS through Wednesday. There is very little spread in the NBM guidance for high temperatures on Wednesday at KBIL with only a 2 degree difference between the 25th and 75th percentiles with values of 85 degrees and 87 degrees respectively. There is also high confidence in dry conditions (very unlikely for any precipitation) through at least Thursday) with no ensemble members indicating precipitation. The ridge looks to break down early on Thursday as a trough approaches the region from the Pacific Northwest. Late Wednesday through Thursday will be the period to watch for increasing winds in the foothills areas as the pressure gradient increases. Flow aloft then switches to a more zonal flow pattern, but this will all be determined by how tropical cyclone Nine (could become a major hurricane) and trough diving into the southern Mississippi River Valley interact. && .AVIATION... VFR will prevail over the next 24 hours. Clouds will start to dissipate the rest of today through the overnight leading to clear skies tomorrow. Gusty winds this afternoon will begin to decrease this evening leading to calm conditions tomorrow. Torgerson && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS... Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon ----------------------------------------------------------- BIL 051/080 054/088 057/083 050/082 051/079 051/074 043/064 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/U 21/B LVM 045/082 050/088 052/081 047/082 047/080 046/074 039/064 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/U 22/W HDN 047/081 050/091 052/085 049/083 049/081 048/077 041/064 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/U 21/B MLS 048/079 053/091 056/084 051/084 052/082 052/076 044/063 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 21/B 4BQ 048/078 052/091 058/090 052/086 052/084 052/079 044/064 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 11/B BHK 044/078 049/088 054/085 048/084 050/083 048/077 042/064 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 11/B SHR 045/080 048/093 052/090 048/086 049/084 046/081 039/064 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 11/B && .BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...None. WY...None. && $$ weather.gov/billings