Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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688 FXUS64 KFWD 270856 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 356 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1236 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/ /Through Saturday/ A stagnant weather pattern will persist into the weekend due to the blocking implications of Helene on the mid-level flow regime. This setup will support light northerly flow through the column, with a fetch of dry air maintaining low humidity at the surface characterized by dewpoints in the upper 40s and 50s both today and tomorrow. A fairly pleasant early fall weekend will be the result, despite high temperatures climbing to above normal values in the mid 80s to lower 90s. A plume of mid/high cloud cover associated with Helene should overspread parts of northeast Texas tomorrow, perhaps holding highs a couple of degrees lower than today. The low dewpoints will allow overnight lows to fall very effectively, with a handful of readings in the 50s possible outside of urban environments. Overhead subsidence and a dearth of column moisture will keep rain chances at zero through the short term period. -Stalley && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Saturday Night Onward/ An uneventful week is ahead weather wise, with rain-free conditions and slightly above normal temperatures expected. The stagnant upper low over the Ohio River Valley at the start of the period will finally be forced eastward with a northern stream trough approaching the Midwest Monday into Tuesday. As this shifts east, the influence of the mid- and upper-level ridge to the west will expand further into North and Central TX. The northern stream trough will also send a weak cold front into the Southern Plains Tuesday, but this will largely go unnoticed and temperatures will remain similar. Moisture will increase slightly in the mid to late week as southerly winds return at the surface, but conditions should still be somewhat comfortable with dewpoints in the upper 50s/low 60s. Afternoon highs will climb into the upper 80s and low 90s each day with overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Gordon && .AVIATION... /Issued 1236 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024/ /06z TAFs/ VFR/SKC will prevail through the period with a north wind. While speeds are currently light at 5 kts or less, expect an increase to 10-15 kts later today with a few gusts near 20 kts this afternoon. -Stalley && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 86 65 88 65 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 88 62 89 62 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 84 62 85 62 86 / 0 5 0 0 0 Denton 88 61 88 62 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 McKinney 87 61 88 63 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dallas 87 65 89 65 88 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 86 62 88 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 89 64 89 63 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 91 61 91 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 89 60 89 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$