Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
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851 FXUS63 KLBF 231121 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 621 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... *Above normal temperatures return by mid-week *Mostly dry through next week with only an isolated chance of precipitation tonight && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 341 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 In the short term the main forecast concern is high temperatures today and precipitation chances tonight. Several models have been trending warmer with high temperatures this afternoon. Probability of temperatures exceeding inherited highs was greater than 80% in most locations, leading to greater confidence in warmer temperatures this afternoon. Did warm up temps a couple degrees trending towards the warmer models. Southerly winds and weak WAA will help warm temperatures, temperatures may need to be adjusted even warmer, but confidence was not high enough at this time to raise temperatures more than a couple degrees from unrotated forecast. A shortwave trof will move through the area tonight, with an isolated chance of a shower possible. Forcing will be sufficient, but drier airmass in place will likely limit development. Did decrease PoP coverage as confidence is low in precipitation, but nonetheless have kept some slight PoPs in the forecast for an outside chance of a shower, anything that does form however, will have little qpf, thus no "wetting" rain expected. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Issued at 341 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 After having the coldest overnight/morning since Spring, the cold air will push east as a ridge of high pressure begins to build across the west. Temperatures will build back into the 70s to low 80s by mid-week, with temperatures reaching above normal by Wednesday. Will keep this weather pattern for much of the long term forecast period, keeping us limited for precipitation chances this next week. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 621 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 VFR conditions will continue at the KLBF and KVTN terminals the next 24 hours. Clear skies through mid afternoon. Broken high cloudiness will move in after 00Z, with a wind shift to the northwest at KVTN. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Gomez LONG TERM...Gomez AVIATION...Roberg