329
ACUS11 KWNS 261632
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261632
FLZ000-261830-

Mesoscale Discussion 2114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1132 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Areas affected...central and southern portions of the Florida
Peninsula

Concerning...Tornado Watch 683...

Valid 261632Z - 261830Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 683 continues.

SUMMARY...Local/brief tornado risk continues across the Florida
Peninsula and adjacent coastal waters.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a relative dearth of inland
convection over central and southern Florida, despite the center of
Helene only approximately 175 nm west of Naples Fl.  With that said,
additional/banded convection should affect the Peninsula over the
next several hours as Helene moves slowly northward.  Some hints of
evolving/cellular convection are now noted over southern Florida
from Lake Okeechobee south to the far southern Florida Coast, and
cellular convection is also increasing near and just offshore from
the Tampa Bay area.  Given favorably strong/weakly veering low-level
flow indicated across the area, risk for brief tornadoes continues
with any cellular convection that evolves.

..Goss.. 09/26/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON   29108354 29608286 29418057 27697948 25727966 24868062
            25278259 29108354