Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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809 FXUS62 KMLB 220108 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 908 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 902 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 High pressure situated north of the area will continue to produce a low level NE flow across the area. This will continue to transport isolated showers and possibly a few storms onshore along the coast through tonight into early morning Saturday, and have maintained 20 percent rain chances along and east of the I-95 corridor. Otherwise, interior locations will largely remain dry overnight. Skies will be partly cloudy to mostly clear, with lows in the low to mid 70s. Not much guidance support at this time for patchy fog to develop late tonight, but with lighter winds there still may be some ground fog that develops in spots. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFs) Issued at 753 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Low level onshore flow will persist across the area, which will continue to transport isolated showers and potentially a few storms onshore along the coast tonight and into the early morning hours on Sunday. This activity will then develop farther inland along the inland moving east coast sea breeze into the late morning and afternoon on Sunday, with coverage remaining spotty. For now have limited mention in the TAFs to VCSH, as ridge and warmer temps building in aloft should tend to limit overall storm development tomorrow. However, can`t rule out some isolated lightning storm activity. Any showers or isolated storms will produce tempo IFR/MVFR conditions. Winds will become light and variable into tonight, and then pick up out of the NE around 7-12 knots, with gusts up to 15-18 knots at times. && .MARINE... Issued at 204 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024 Tonight thru mid next week...High pressure to the north will continue to provide for a light to moderate NNE/NE flow that will veer more ENE- E Sun overnight into early-mid next week. Speeds commonly 8-15 kts. Seas near shore 3-4 ft building to 4-5 ft over the Gulf Stream/offshore into next week. ISOLD to WDLY SCT (10-30pct) showers and lightning storms remain in the forecast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 74 88 74 89 / 20 20 0 10 MCO 73 91 74 91 / 10 30 10 20 MLB 75 89 76 88 / 20 20 20 20 VRB 73 89 75 89 / 20 20 30 30 LEE 73 91 73 92 / 10 20 0 10 SFB 73 89 73 90 / 10 30 0 10 ORL 74 91 75 92 / 10 30 0 10 FPR 73 89 74 89 / 20 20 30 30 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Sunday for FLZ141-154-159- 164-347-447-647-747. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Weitlich AVIATION...Weitlich