Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
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715 FXUS64 KMOB 231728 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1228 PM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 VFR conditions will largely continue through the period. Local reductions will be possible early Tuesday morning with the development of patchy fog mainly over interior areas. Winds remain light and southerly to southwesterly this afternoon before becoming light and variable tonight. /14 && .NEAR TERM... (Now through Tuesday) Issued at 1228 PM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 An upper ridge over much of the Gulf and adjacent northern Gulf coast states is deflected out of the forecast area through Tuesday in response to a longwave trof which evolves over the central states and begins to advance into the eastern states. A surface ridge will be oriented near/along the northern Gulf coast today and remains close to this position into Tuesday, and this allows for a southerly to southeasterly flow to become established over the forecast area today and continue into Tuesday. Despite the movement of the upper ridge, waning subsidence effects look sufficient to suppress convective development, although can`t rule out a shower or storm developing each afternoon. Highs today mostly range from 90 to 95, then highs on Tuesday will be mostly in the lower 90s. Lows tonight and Tuesday night range from around 70 inland to 70-75 near the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Tuesday night. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 71 91 71 86 70 79 68 84 / 0 10 20 70 70 70 40 20 Pensacola 74 89 75 85 72 79 71 84 / 0 10 30 70 80 80 40 20 Destin 75 88 75 85 73 80 74 84 / 0 10 30 60 80 80 50 20 Evergreen 68 93 69 87 70 79 68 83 / 0 10 20 70 80 80 50 30 Waynesboro 69 92 69 87 67 80 67 82 / 0 10 20 60 50 60 40 20 Camden 70 92 69 85 68 77 67 81 / 0 0 30 70 70 70 50 30 Crestview 69 93 70 86 71 79 67 85 / 0 10 30 70 80 90 50 30 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob