Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
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552 FXUS64 KOUN 260745 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 245 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 245 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 - Seasonable and dry weather is expected through the weekend, with only a very low (~10%) chance for a few showers across eastern Oklahoma on Friday into Saturday. - A cold front is expected early next week, though significant/precipitating weather is not currently anticipated. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 245 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Low-impact weather is expected today. Despite light/calm winds and clear skies, akin to previous early mornings, a slightly drier airmass will keep relative humidities <90-95% and concern for fog low for most areas. Still, patchy or terrain-induced fog cannot be discounted where recent rainfall has occurred, mainly in the area bounded by Interstates 35 & 40. Otherwise, conditions on Thursday will feel very similar to those felt yesterday (Wednesday). Afternoon high temperatures in the low to mid-80s, a light northeast breeze and mostly clear skies are forecast. Ungar && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 245 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 A cutoff upper system across the Mississippi Valley remains poised to begin phasing with Hurricane Helene on Thursday. At this time, a consensus of both deterministic and ensemble output keeps the brunt of sensible impacts with this feature further to the east across the Ozarks/Mississippi Valley. Accordingly, chances for scattered precipitation on Friday into Saturday continue to wane at this update (now only a ~10% chance across far eastern zones). The proximity of the system may be such that scattered mid/high clouds are noted across eastern Oklahoma on Friday/Saturday. A rather repetitive diurnal temperature trace is expected for most locations into the weekend (and beyond), with afternoon highs in the 80s and overnight lows in the 50s (north) to near 60 (south). Temperatures may warm up some, into the 90s, ahead of a front on Monday. At this update, little impactful weather/precipitation is expected with this front. Ungar && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024 VFR conditions to continue. Clear skies and light winds expected overnight. Some patchy fog possible across central into southeast Oklahoma, but chances remain too low to include in the TAFs at this time. Skies remain clear Thursday with some increase in winds but expected to remain below 10kts. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 82 56 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 Hobart OK 86 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 86 57 87 59 / 0 0 0 0 Gage OK 86 54 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 83 54 82 58 / 0 0 0 0 Durant OK 85 58 84 61 / 0 0 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...34 LONG TERM....34 AVIATION...30