Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
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895 FXUS63 KSGF 260918 AFDSGF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 418 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain chances increase tonight into tomorrow due to the remnants of Hurricane Helene. The highest rain chances (50-90%) are Friday afternoon across south-central Missouri and the eastern Ozarks. - Highest rainfall totals will be along and east of Highway 63. - Breezy conditions are likely Friday with northerly gusts up to 35 mph. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 327 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Today will be another nice and warm day with partly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Northerly winds ahead of the incoming system start to crank up today with wind gusts near 20 mph. Clouds return tonight making it feel a bit warmer in the upper 50s. Remnants of Hurricane Helene will filter into eastern Missouri starting overnight Thursday into Friday morning. Expect rainy and cloudy weather to persist all through Friday. Rainfall amounts have mostly stayed the same as the previous forecast package. Again, it`s very important to reiterate that there will likely be a sharp cutoff in rainfall totals across the Missouri Ozarks. Highest rainfall amounts will fall primarily east of Highway 63. These areas could see around 1 to 2 inches of rain with pockets of localized higher amounts by Sunday. WPC has highlighted this area with a Slight Risk for excessive rainfall valid for Friday through Saturday. A Flood Watch may be needed for southeastern Missouri and will be considered over the next few forecast updates. Continue to monitor the forecast for the latest information. Winds will also be very gusty on Friday with the strong pressure gradient introduced by this system. Northerly wind gusts could be around 30-35 mph at times especially over far southeastern Missouri. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 327 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Rain will start to exit the area on Saturday, though clouds will still linger around. Winds will also begin to diminish, though expect northerly wind gusts to be up to 25 mph for Saturday. By Sunday, most of the rain will be out of the CWA with the exception of a low chance (15-30%) of afternoon thunderstorms for areas east of Highway 63. Highs will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s for the weekend. Next week will start off mostly dry with a cold front moving through on Tuesday. This front will keep our high temperatures in the low to mid 70s through the middle of next week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1215 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024 VFR through the period with breezy northerly winds this afternoon for areas along and east of Highway 65. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. MO...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Soria LONG TERM...Soria AVIATION...Soria