Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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360 FXUS64 KSHV 230657 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 157 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Monday through Tuesday) Issued at 114 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 The first front of the forecast period is beginning to push into the region, with showers and thunderstorms gradually increasing into the afternoon hours. This progression will be slow going, with afternoon highs today still ranging in the mid-80s to low-90s. However, with the influx of clouds, rain chances, and cold air advection, highs tomorrow will drop in the mid and upper-80s area-wide. Rain chances this short-term will also be very dependent on front location, with the better rain chances shifting south of I-20 by tomorrow afternoon. /44/ && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 114 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 By Wednesday, the much deeper trough and closed low will begin working SE through the Plains. This second front should push through the region during the day on Wednesday, leaving much cooler temperatures in its wake. Highs on Thursday will only range in the mid-70s to low-80s, with highs hovering here through Saturday. Rain chances into the weekend will also heavily depend on tropical moisture wrapping around this low, and working back south into the region. At this time, the best chances for rain appear north of I-20, but this will be subject to change as this low meanders as well. The closed low will eventually pull back to the northeast, likely associated with friction from the tropical disturbance, settling somewhere in the Midwest. Here, it will keep winds from the north, and dry air filtering into the region. While afternoon highs will begin climbing through the weekend, overnight lows will continue to range in the upper-50s and mid-60s due to the dry air. /44/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1218 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024 For the 23/06z TAF update...Satellite imagery is showing an increase in cloud cover that is moving into the region from the northwest associated with a frontal boundary. Despite the increase in clouds, VFR conditions are expected to continue for all terminals, with the exception of KLFK where some MVFR conditions could be seen this morning from lower visibility. The aforementioned cold front will gradually push into our area that will bring a chance for some showers and thunderstorms around 23/20z for terminals along and north of I-20. /33/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 93 73 87 68 / 20 20 30 30 MLU 93 73 89 67 / 0 10 40 40 DEQ 84 62 85 60 / 60 30 10 30 TXK 89 67 86 64 / 40 30 20 30 ELD 91 68 86 64 / 10 30 30 20 TYR 90 68 88 66 / 30 20 30 20 GGG 91 69 87 65 / 30 30 30 30 LFK 92 73 89 68 / 10 20 40 30 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...33