901
FNUS73 KBIS 270212
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Fire near Minnkota Plant...North Dakota Forest Service
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
912 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 CDT on September 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will continue to gradually diminish this evening, becoming light
and variable after midnight. Humidity will be slow to recover, but is
expected to reach around 80 percent towards sunrise.

On Friday, winds start out light and variable becoming southerly at
5 to 10 mph by mid-day. Humidity values will drop to a minimum of around
25 percent in the afternoon under sunny skies as temperatures climb into
the upper 70s. Winds remain southerly into the evening, before becoming
light turning towards the southwest.


.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........82 percent, lowest around sunrise.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 mph becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph
                    by midnight. After midnight winds become light
                    and possibly variable.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 19 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    late night.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  69  65  62  59  57  54  51  49
RH..............38  39  39  39  42  47  54  61  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..13  13  10  7   5   5   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.18  18  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.21  18  18  16  12  10  10  10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   4


.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable in the morning, becoming
                    south at 5 to 10 mph mid-day into the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Variable around 5 mph in the early morning, then shifting
                    to the south 5 to 13 mph in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor becoming fair in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light and turning towards
                    the southwest.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph shifting to the west around 8
                    mph towards early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...SCHILD
Requested by...Ryan Melin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423120.0/BIS
.DELDT 09/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.melin@ndsu.edu