229
FNUS75 KFGZ 271750
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for LDR...Camp Navajo Fire
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1050 AM MST Fri Sep 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1041 MST on September 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Strong high pressure over the region will continue
to bring dry conditions with record warm temperatures. Easterly
winds today will shift to southerly by Saturday afternoon. Light
winds are expected during the overnight hours. The dry pattern is
expected to continue for the foreseeable future.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Haze in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph with a few gusts
                    up to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......676.
Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening,
                    becoming variable less than 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    to southwest in the afternoon around 10 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1122.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12600
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the south in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the southwest late in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...M TAYLOR
Requested by...Tim Irwin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422789.5/FGZ
.DELDT 09/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.irwin@azdema.gov