576
FXUS63 KSGF 261110
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
610 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Rain chances increase tonight into tomorrow due to the
  remnants of Hurricane Helene. The highest rain chances
  (50-90%) are Friday afternoon across south-central Missouri
  and the eastern Ozarks.

- Highest rainfall totals will be along and east of Highway 63.

- Breezy conditions are likely Friday with northerly gusts up
  to 35 mph.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 327 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Today will be another nice and warm day with partly cloudy skies and
highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. Northerly winds ahead of the
incoming system start to crank up today with wind gusts near 20 mph.
Clouds return tonight making it feel a bit warmer in the upper 50s.

Remnants of Hurricane Helene will filter into eastern Missouri
starting overnight Thursday into Friday morning. Expect rainy and
cloudy weather to persist all through Friday. Rainfall amounts have
mostly stayed the same as the previous forecast package. Again, it`s
very important to reiterate that there will likely be a sharp cutoff
in rainfall totals across the Missouri Ozarks. Highest rainfall
amounts will fall primarily east of Highway 63. These areas could see
around 1 to 2 inches of rain with pockets of localized higher
amounts by Sunday. WPC has highlighted this area with a Slight Risk
for excessive rainfall valid for Friday through Saturday. A Flood
Watch may be needed for southeastern Missouri and will be considered
over the next few forecast updates. Continue to monitor the forecast
for the latest information.

Winds will also be very gusty on Friday with the strong pressure
gradient introduced by this system. Northerly wind gusts could be
around 30-35 mph at times especially over far southeastern
Missouri.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 327 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Rain will start to exit the area on Saturday, though clouds will
still linger around. Winds will also begin to diminish, though
expect northerly wind gusts to be up to 25 mph for Saturday. By
Sunday, most of the rain will be out of the CWA with the
exception of a low chance (15-30%) of afternoon thunderstorms
for areas east of Highway 63. Highs will be in the mid 70s to
lower 80s for the weekend.

Next week will start off mostly dry with a cold front moving
through on Tuesday. This front will keep our high temperatures
in the low to mid 70s through the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 610 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

High confidence in VFR conditions prevailing through the TAF
period. Wind gusts this afternoon up to 20 knots out of the
northeast. Rain chances and windy conditions build into the area
from the east late in the TAF period with tropical remnants.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Perez