718
FNUS73 KUNR 251320
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for PeSla/Reynolds Ranch Slash RX...Rosebud Agency
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
720 AM MDT Sat May 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Expect scattered afternoon showers today. Winds will
be easterly at 5 to 10 mph. Showers chances will continue through
Sunday. An isolated thunderstorm is also possible. Winds will
shift to the northwest Sunday, with gusts to around 25 mph in the
afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Temperature.........49 at ignition...Max 57.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds around 5
                    mph with gusts to around 12 mph shifting to the
                    east in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Mixing height.......7200 to 7700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms through the night. Chance of rain
                    showers overnight.
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 52.
RH..................Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph, gusts to 25 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................65 percent.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500 to 5000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...JC
Requested by...Bert Shields
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415075.0/UNR
.DELDT 05/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.golus14@gmail.com