Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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543
FNUS53 KAPX 270930
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
530 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

...No rain expected through the weekend...

.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure will hold over far northern
Michigan, even as the remnants of Hurricane Helene move into the
Ohio Valley. Cloud cover will increase some tonight and Saturday,
especially closer to Saginaw Bay. But no precipitation is expected
until next week. An east to northeast breeze will develop late
today, and persist through the weekend. Winds will be a little
gusty at times, especially south of M-32. Humidity levels will be
somewhat low each afternoon.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-272200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
530 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (382).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the east around
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (421).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-272200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
530 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (369).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (363).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-272200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
530 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (479).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (472).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-272200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
530 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (534).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-272200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
530 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (603).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (500).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

JZ