Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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903 FLUS44 KTSA 231030 HWOTSA Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Tulsa OK 530 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024 ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241000- Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK- Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK- Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK- Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK- Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK- Washington OK-Washington AR- 530 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024 This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as much of Eastern Oklahoma. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RISK...Elevated. AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. HEAVY RAIN and FLASH FLOOD.. RISK...Limited. AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas. ONSET...Ongoing. DISCUSSION... A complex of showers and thunderstorms is ongoing from southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas early this morning. Locally heavy rainfall and a marginal risk for hail up to quarter size will continue to be possible with these storms early today. Scattered thunderstorms are likely to redevelop across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this afternoon. Any storm that develops will have the potential to become severe, with large hail and damaging winds being the main severe weather threats. Locally heavy rainfall may result in some flooding concerns, mainly from southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential. SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. MONDAY...No Hazards. TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential. EXTENDED DISCUSSION... Widely scattered thunderstorms may develop Friday afternoon and evening from southeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas along a cold front. Some severe weather threat will accompany these storms. The greatest severe weather threat over the next week will come late Saturday afternoon and especially Saturday evening. All severe weather hazards will be possible with storms Saturday evening. Thunderstorm chances will diminish Sunday into next week, but periodic low storm chances will exist at times. weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information. $$