212
FNUS53 KAPX 241832
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
232 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

...Intermittent rain chances through early next week...

.DISCUSSION...
A generally wet pattern will linger through early next week. For
this weekend rain chances remain during the overnight hours with
clearing in the afternoon. Due to this min humidity values will
likely dip into the 30s for interior locations Saturday and
Sunday afternoon. Winds will generally be southeast to southwest
and breezy at times as a couple systems approach and pass
overhead. More moisture and wide spread showers and thunderstorm
chances move in Sunday evening and last into Monday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-250830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
232 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (79).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.18 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (447).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........77-82 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 6 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (662).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-250830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
232 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.15 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 9 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (635).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west around
                    18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.15 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (358).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-250830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
232 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (77).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.42 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (412).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 21 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (750).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to around 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.16 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-250830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
232 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Numerous rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (83).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.80 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 16 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (459).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 9 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (922).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to around 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.17 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-250830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
232 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.16 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (694).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (601).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MEMORIAL DAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ELD