788
WUUS01 KWNS 220113
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0811 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2024

VALID TIME 220100Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40808627 38968780 37738862 36788959 35359134 32139643
       31399789 31399864 31609902 31959924 33139852 35359653
       35419639 36869515 38489339 39489273 40379213 41189174
       42019159 42659195 43299240 44109354 44539371 45259370
       45829330 46189260 46449166 46348896 46388879 45938709
       44668545 43498533 42458571 40808627
0.05   34669520 35049561 35399573 35839551 36539493 37719372
       38349320 39449240 40979150 41939125 42809155 43489196
       44169258 44689273 45249264 45839198 45919143 45808893
       45478784 45118720 44758691 44438676 43918671 43428673
       41868712 40628755 39718804 38108926 36919039 35679168
       35009272 34779382 34669520
0.10   38989189 39069214 39239206 39689184 40899127 42009090
       43099053 44319061 44649035 44838954 44778897 44428820
       43828788 43018786 41768810 40898882 39768993 39119109
       38989189
0.15   41698921 41158978 41069010 41119037 41489047 42119008
       42658974 43428954 44058965 44278937 44298901 44148874
       43888854 43538841 43048846 42488864 42008892 41698921
SIGN   38949173 39129206 39469193 40929127 43119052 44369057
       44589032 44808949 44768889 44388815 43738780 41788806
       40718900 39728990 39179094 38949173
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29040154 32599903 38279361 39819239 41139167 42109160
       43249230 43529267 44089317 44849364 45509349 46059306
       46539245 46739162 46719077 46478922 45958781 44838646
       43338613 41918653 41178690 39408820 38178934 36799093
       33489470 31239719 29369922 27770045
0.15   31419850 31449875 31579894 31789901 32089901 32739865
       34239720 37299411 40019199 41959094 43539078 44509122
       44959138 45329104 45489036 45458984 45408900 45258840
       44488731 43378698 41818735 40768784 39668889 37699108
       36239254 32809667 31849782 31579819 31419850
0.30   41878907 41518938 41168978 41069011 41149037 41509045
       41869023 42688972 43478954 44078964 44288942 44298900
       44138872 43868857 43498840 42988847 42528861 42098888
       41878907
SIGN   35109538 35149564 35309584 35629579 35859549 37789358
       41929040 42888984 43528977 43938978 44228981 44338973
       44428948 44478924 44458886 44298845 43728818 43108814
       42278842 41048923 39589058 37009279 35439442 35099496
       35109538
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29230141 32549906 36319570 38409347 40089230 41169174
       42019159 42699198 43249237 44109354 44569380 45589376
       47169268 47409194 47809050 47768725 47678580 99999999
       42208228 39878506 36608893 35269090 32619515 30759773
       29229940 27700042
0.15   35679171 33369483 32109630 31459785 31429867 31719899
       32119899 32789852 34289717 35969555 38129328 39519237
       40929151 41969125 42849158 43499197 44339264 45119277
       45839201 46309069 46399002 46488907 46348705 45468402
       44438323 43548325 42878357 41098541 38798800 36979011
       35679171
0.30   38059222 38369247 38979225 41009126 42329080 43389053
       44369061 44849039 45168942 45078805 44768688 44378590
       42988559 41828627 41328668 39468876 39258905 38079109
       38059222
0.45   42078887 41548934 41158976 41069010 41139038 41509046
       42089012 42638974 43108965 43578955 44078965 44258937
       44288899 44168879 43918856 43538844 43118846 42478865
       42078887
SIGN   38279238 38919226 39469198 39939172 40909109 42349065
       43489041 44089038 44489033 44708958 44558854 44128793
       43558760 42678745 41728741 40688790 39678889 38419098
       38269165 38279238
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    42068889 41448941 41138978 41059010 41109037 41469048
       42089009 42668974 43478954 44068966 44278939 44298901
       44178877 43888854 43498843 43048846 42458864 42068889
ENH    38069239 38819233 39499193 40949126 41819092 43019065
       44259058 44809040 45168929 45128800 44858698 44418597
       42958555 41338663 39458878 38049116 38069239
SLGT   31399867 31669902 32069902 32789858 33949749 35969558
       38059339 38809282 41069147 41959129 42859156 43519193
       43979237 44469267 45149273 45839209 46369041 46458880
       46358711 45468402 44438323 43548325 42858361 41268520
       38728804 35749157 33959416 32009646 31429789 31399867
MRGL   28990150 33139859 35039680 38359351 39769247 41189174
       42079162 42629192 43179226 43509272 44089354 44519378
       45549375 47179268 47809061 47798859 47678582 99999999
       42008250 40518430 39488555 36928852 35229094 33029449
       31199721 29319932 27840030
TSTM   45777084 44626995 43446961 42826994 42417041 42207110
       42217292 42367428 42747554 43207635 44217686 99999999
       43047957 40578278 38108491 35768676 34538836 33619032
       33199279 32709408 31279622 29889809 28429939 27410005
       99999999 29220243 33150020 35159850 36789703 40199364
       41189295 41779294 42479346 43659420 45929457 47509431
       49079294 99999999 49660908 48590673 47630514 46740449
       46010466 45620502 45310586 44720725 44510791 44490844
       44770909 45270961 46070992 46750998 47351010 47821036
       48261094 48641184 49341391 99999999 36990064 36940168
       37170249 37260315 37940549 38410735 38700812 39100845
       40110863 40670844 41780765 42740682 43270598 43840418
       43880382 43910271 43740218 43380138 42810064 42210021
       41389993 40639988 40289965 39889921 39439856 39279840
       38919831 38449846 37999882 37449944 36990064 99999999
       27498327 28068204 28298095 28497988

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE
RFD 40 W MMO 30 N PIA 35 NW PIA 25 SSE MLI MLI 40 SE DBQ 35 W JVL 25
NNW MSN 30 ENE VOK 40 SSE CWA 30 NW OSH 15 NW OSH OSH 35 S OSH 30
WNW MKE 25 ESE JVL 15 SE RFD.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW
TBN COU 50 NNE COU 15 NNW BRL 35 NW MLI 30 WSW LNR 25 NW VOK 35 W
CWA 25 NE AUW 45 N GRB 55 NW MBL 15 NE MBL GRR 20 ESE VPZ 25 W MTO
35 E VIH 25 NW TBN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE
BWD 10 SSW BWD 20 NNW BWD 30 W MWL 35 SW ADM 25 NNW MKO 45 S SZL 30
W COU 25 NW BRL 25 ENE CID 45 ENE ALO 40 SE RST RST 40 NNW RST 30 NE
MSP 70 S DLH 20 SW IWD 50 SSW CMX 25 ESE MQT 35 NW APN 10 E OSC 20
SW BAX 10 SE FNT 20 N FWA 50 E SLO BVX 15 ESE DEQ CRS 35 NW TPL 35
SSE BWD.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW
DRT 40 NW MWL 45 S CQB 25 S SZL 25 S IRK 35 E OTM 15 NNE CID 25 ENE
ALO 45 N ALO 30 SSW RST 20 ESE MKT 20 NNE MKT 15 E STC 15 SSE HIB 15
WNW GNA 45 N CMX 105 NW ANJ ...CONT... 45 SSE MTC 45 N DAY 40 ESE
IND 15 SE PAH 45 SSW JBR 40 SW TXK 15 ENE TPL 10 WSW HDO 55 WNW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NNE BML 20 NNW AUG
40 ESE PWM 45 ESE PSM 30 E BOS 15 SSW BOS 10 WNW BAF 35 SW ALB 30
SSW UCA 15 WNW SYR 45 WNW ART ...CONT... 45 W BUF 20 SW MFD 20 WNW
LEX 25 S BNA 30 NE TUP 15 WNW GWO ELD 25 NW SHV 50 N CLL 10 NNW BAZ
10 WSW COT 35 WSW LRD ...CONT... 60 SSW 6R6 60 NNW ABI 30 W CHK PNC
25 N CDJ 10 SE OXV 35 NNE OXV 40 E FOD 10 E FRM 35 NW STC 30 E BJI
40 NNE INL ...CONT... 85 NNE HVR 25 NNW GGW 40 NNW GDV 30 NNW BHK 30
SW BHK 20 NE 4BQ 25 WSW 4BQ 15 WSW SHR 35 N WRL 30 E COD 20 N COD 50
SE LVM 25 S 3HT 25 NNW 3HT 35 NW LWT 50 ENE GTF 55 NNE GTF 25 E CTB
70 NNE GPI ...CONT... 20 E LBL 15 ESE EHA 10 SE SPD 30 W SPD 40 NNE
ALS 25 WSW GUC 20 NW MTJ GJT 50 ESE VEL 50 WNW CAG 25 W RWL 20 WSW
CPR 35 NE CPR 60 WSW RAP 40 WSW RAP 20 ESE RAP 35 SW PHP 45 SSE PHP
VTN 30 SSW ANW 15 WSW BBW 45 W EAR 45 SW EAR 50 NE HLC 40 NNE RSL 35
NE RSL 30 E RSL 35 SE RSL 50 NNW P28 35 SE DDC 20 E LBL ...CONT...
45 W SRQ 40 ENE PIE 25 NW MLB 55 ENE MLB.