Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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939 ACUS01 KWNS 250100 SWODY1 SPC AC 250058 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0758 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024 Valid 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL TX TO THE MID-SOUTH AND MID-MS VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will continue this evening into early morning from central Texas to the Mid-South and Mid-MS Valley. ...Central TX to the Mid-South... Despite numerous supercells over the past few hours, reported hail magnitudes have largely held from quarter to golf ball size thus far. Recently, supercell numbers have subsided somewhat across north TX into eastern OK, with the more intense ones in an arc across northeast TX and northern MS, where baseball sized hail was reported this hour. As such, have shifted the sig severe hail to account for these recent trends. The lack of appreciable low-level jet response tonight may curtail greater organized upscale growth and tornado potential. Still, given the large number of cells along with ample MLCAPE (as sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding), some clustering appears likely into tonight. This should favor more of a mix of large hail and damaging winds. ...Mid-MS Valley... Thunderstorms clusters near the cold front/large-scale outflow intersection should evolve south-southeastward this evening along the MLCAPE gradient that extends into the Mid-South. Sporadic strong to localized severe gusts, along with occasional severe hail will remain possible into the early morning. ..Grams.. 05/25/2024 $$