Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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978
FNUS22 KWNS 311817
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0116 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

Minor expansions were made to both Elevated areas based on the
latest model forecast guidance. Dry and breezy conditions are likely
from southeast Arizona into the western half of New Mexico but are
not likely to meet elevated criteria. Additionally, elevated to
locally critical winds/RH are likely farther north across the Great
Basin into the West Slope, but current fuel conditions preclude
expanding the Elevated area. Otherwise, the forecast remains on
track.

..Nauslar.. 05/31/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0221 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024/

...Synopsis...
Increasing west-southwesterly surface winds are expected Saturday
across northern AZ and far northwestern NM, where fuels continue to
become more receptive due to a lack of appreciable rainfall and
persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits.
Further east across FL, increasing easterly sustained winds around
the base of a surface high pressure are expected to combine with RH
of less than 35-40 percent, and ERC fuels exceeding the 85-95th
percentile. However, meteorological fire spread conditions only
warrant Elevated areas at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$