Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
991
FNUS54 KEPZ 222047
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
247 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Persistent dry southwest flow aloft will continue elevated fire
conditions through this forecast period. Breezy winds most every
afternoon, with Thursday and Saturday seeing the strongest winds.
Hence, these two days will likely see critical (Red Flag) conditions.
Humidity will continue very low, and even humidity showing poor
recovery, with max humidity in the 20s and 30s percent.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-231230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
247 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....37-42.
* Below 7500 ft....43-48.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....77-82.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds around 10 mph
increasing to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 10200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (219000 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....39-44.
* Below 7500 ft....44-49.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
northwest around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 11500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (238000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 70s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 80.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-231230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
247 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....49-53.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....85-89.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........3-5 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (266600 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....50-54.
* Max humidity........21-26 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph decreasing
to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-90.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 12800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (253500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 90.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-231230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
247 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....52-57.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........14-18 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy blowing dust
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........3-5 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (275200 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....52-57.
* Max humidity........16-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph decreasing
to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 26 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....86-91.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (242300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 90.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-231230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
247 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....40-45.
* Below 7500 ft....47-52.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....20-25 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....16-20 percent.
* 24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 26 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....68-73.
* Below 7500 ft....78-83.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (262300 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....43-48.
* Below 7500 ft....49-54.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....19-23 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....17-22 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 31 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....70-75.
* Below 7500 ft....79-84.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....6-8 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (212000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
West winds around 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 80.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-231230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
247 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....58-62.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........12-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy blowing dust
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....88-92.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........3-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 11200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (280500 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....59-63.
* Max humidity........14-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....89-93.
* Min humidity........4-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (194600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-231230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
247 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
* Min temperature.....56-60.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........14-16 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy blowing dust
after 1200.
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........3-8 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 30 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (279600 knot-ft).
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....57-59.
* Max humidity........14-16 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....87-92.
* Min humidity........3-5 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (184200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
Hefner