826
FXUS64 KLZK 011956
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
256 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 249 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Latest data from KLZK radar indicate a few weak convective cells
in northeast Arkansas, moving east. Regional radar data indicate
a MCS developing to the east of the DFW metroplex, moving east.
This system is expected to develop towards the LZK forecast area.


Overnight, wIth a light and variable near surface flow and clear
conditions, fog formation is supported. Will need to monitor near
term forecasts to determine of any headlines are necessary.

Next chance for widespread precipitation appears for late in this
forecast period. Several forecast signals exist currently,
pointing towards MCS development to develop across the central
Kansas, then will approach the forecast area. Later forecasts
will be able to refine the timing of this type of system.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Saturday)
Issued at 249 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

An active weather pattern is expected through the much of the
period. Surface high pressure will be situated just to the east of
the state as southerly flow supplies moisture into the state around
the high pressure. Aloft, a quasi-zonal pattern is expected to set
up allowing several disturbances to track across the area.

As of this forecast package, severe weather is expected to remain on
the low side...but not zero. Should any severe weather materialize
with any MCS`s...damaging winds would be the main threat. QPF will
depend on where rainfall sets up and tracks. For the most part, many
areas across the state could see one to two inches through Friday
with locally higher amounts possible.

Temperatures are expected to be on the warmer side with highs in the
mid 80s to mid 90s. Overnight lows are expected to drop into the mid
60s to lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1144 AM CDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Clear conditions, a light and variable surface flow, and moist
conditions are expected to promote fog formation overnight. Expect
areas of LIFR visibility between 08 and 14z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     64  87  69  87 /   0  10  10  50
Camden AR         66  89  70  89 /  10  20   0  30
Harrison AR       61  84  67  83 /   0  20  10  60
Hot Springs AR    66  89  70  88 /  10  20  10  40
Little Rock   AR  69  89  72  89 /   0  10  10  40
Monticello AR     69  89  72  89 /  10  20   0  30
Mount Ida AR      65  88  69  86 /  10  30  10  40
Mountain Home AR  61  85  67  84 /   0  10  10  60
Newport AR        65  88  70  87 /   0  10  10  50
Pine Bluff AR     68  89  71  89 /   0  10   0  30
Russellville AR   66  88  70  87 /   0  20  10  50
Searcy AR         65  88  69  88 /  10  10  10  50
Stuttgart AR      69  88  72  88 /   0  10  10  40

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...55