358
FXUS64 KOHX 190659
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
159 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 116 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Skies are gradually clearing across the area this morning and
patchy fog is developing again. Dense fog has been spotty and
short lived so far, but areas near rivers and lakes may have
limited visibilities through around sunrise. If it becomes more
widespread, a dense fog advisory may be needed.

With rain well to our east and plenty of sunshine in the forecast
today, we should warm into the 80s across the area. Weak ridging
will keep afternoon highs warming a couple of degrees each day,
pushing temperatures into the mid to upper 80s by Monday
afternoon.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Sunday)
Issued at 116 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Dry weather and warming temperatures will continue into Tuesday,
when the Nashville metro area might flirt with 90 degrees. The
aforementioned upper ridging will begin to break down Tuesday
night, giving way to rain and storm chances on Wednesday.
Southerly flow will increase ahead of this next system, so we`ll
stay warm and humid as rain moves in on Wednesday. As it`s
supporting low pressure system races off to the north, this front
is expected to linger over Middle TN Thursday and Friday providing
a focus for showers and storms during the daytime hours. Ample
cloud cover will keep temperatures a few degrees cooler on those
afternoons. Toward the end of the work week, models show a
shortwave moving in and finally pushing showers to our east. Any
break in the rain will likely be short-lived as another broad
upper trough brings more showers and storms next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1204 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Patchy fog is developing across the area and that will continue as
we head through the overnight. The fog will be most widespread for
areas to the west and south of Nashville. MVFR to LIFR in the fog.
Clear skies and VFR conditions after 13z. Winds light overnight
becoming northerly under 6 knots tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      86  64  88  66 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    85  62  87  65 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     80  57  80  60 /  10   0   0   0
Columbia       85  61  85  64 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     81  60  82  62 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      80  57  82  60 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   84  62  85  64 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   85  61  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        85  62  87  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Whitehead
LONG TERM....Whitehead
AVIATION.....Mueller