Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
178
FNUS55 KTWC 232143
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
243 PM MST Thu May 23 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH 9 PM SATURDAY EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 152...
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions with breezy afternoons at times will continue
Friday and especially Saturday. Minimum RH values to the single
digits in valleys with poor to fair overnight recoveries remain
forecast. In an environment supportive very low fuel moistures
Saturday for the foreseeable future, the combination 20-foot
sustained wind speeds to 20 mph or more Saturday should favor the
development of Critical Fire Weather Conditions across the lowlands
in Cochise, southern Graham, Greenlee and northeast Pinal
counties. Seasonably warm temperatures will continue through the
weekend, with hotter afternoons on tap early next week.
AZZ150-241545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
243 PM MST Thu May 23 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........88 to 98 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 17 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10782 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 11 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (194076 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........54 to 64 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............40 to 50 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 11 to 15 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............9718 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 14 to 18 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174924 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 7 to 16 pct.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows 57 to 67. Highs 92 to 102. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 94 to 104. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 4 to 10 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 69. Highs 94 to 104.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 93 to 103.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-241545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
243 PM MST Thu May 23 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............7 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 10 mph increasing to
southwest around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............8827 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 to 19 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (167713 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............36 to 46 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............11 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 35 mph becoming west
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............8005 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 20 to 23 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (184115 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds.
Minimum Humidity 8 to 14 pct.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 87 to 97. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 88 to 98. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 10 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 88 to 98.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 88 to 98.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-241545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
243 PM MST Thu May 23 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH 9 PM SATURDAY EVENING...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........48 to 58 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph becoming southwest
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............5 to 12 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............10506 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........South 10 knots increasing to southwest
20 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (210120 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........49 to 59 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............9 to 19 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest around 15 mph
increasing to west around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 40 mph becoming west
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............9597 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 21 to 27 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (259119 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 83 to 93. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 15 pct.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 87 to 97. Light
winds. Minimum Humidity 4 to 11 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 89 to 99. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 4 to 9 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Highs 88 to 98.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 88 to 98.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-241545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
243 PM MST Thu May 23 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 25 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........71 to 81 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............8 to 16 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............8881 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 14 to 22 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (195382 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........43 to 53 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............37 to 47 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 35 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 30 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............7678 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 25 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (214984 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 73 to 83. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 9 to 15 pct.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows 44 to 54. Highs 77 to 87. West wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 79 to 89. Northwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 6 to 11 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 78 to 88.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-241545-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
243 PM MST Thu May 23 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 20 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature..........73 to 83 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............6 to 14 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............11360 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 knots increasing to 21
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (238560 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature..........46 to 56 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............29 to 39 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 25 mph increasing to
around 40 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Sunny.
* Max Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............12 to 22 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest around 40 mph becoming west
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........0 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............9976 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 24 to 28 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (259376 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 73 to 83. West wind around
15 mph. Minimum Humidity 8 to 18 pct.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Clear. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 76 to 86. Southwest
wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 13 pct.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 78 to 88. Southwest wind
around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 5 to 12 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 78 to 88.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 51 to 61. Highs 78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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