625
FNUS73 KJKL 292005
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for Bear Creek RX...USFS
National Weather Service Jackson KY
305 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EST on November 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...There are no significant changes to the forecast. A
cold front will approach from the northwest tonight and move through
early Sunday, possibly bringing some light rain. Any rainfall is
likely to be around one-tenth of an inch or less. Breezy conditions
are expected Sunday behind the cold front.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Dewpoint............16.
Max apparent temp...47.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......South 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20200 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (4600
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................6 to 34.

TIME (EST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  84  89
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10
Temp............47  47  44
Dewpoint........15  15  17
RH..............27  27  33
Aparnt tmp (F)..47  46  41
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5
20 FT wind gust.5   9   8
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..3   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.0 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  8
LVORI...........1   2   2
ADI.............34  30  6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  20  5
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of snow in the
                    evening. Chance of rain through the night.
                    Slight chance of snow overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Dewpoint............19 increasing to 29.
Min apparent temp...31.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph early in
                    the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......South 6 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 21 mph
                    after 3 am.
Vent Rate...........Poor (4500 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 19.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  91  91  90  89  89  89  90  90  91  92  92
Weather cov.....            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RS  RN  RS  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  40  40  30  40  40  30  40  40
Temp............41  38  38  38  38  38  38  38  38  39  39  40
Dewpoint........18  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  23  25  28  30
RH..............39  48  48  48  48  48  48  48  54  57  64  67
Aparnt tmp (F)..38  34  34  33  32  31  31  31  31  32  32  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  13
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   13  16  16  16  17  17  17  18
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..6   6   7   8   10  12  12  12  13  13  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  14  14  14  15  16  17  18  20  21  21
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.............7   8   9   9   12  13  14  15  16  18  19  19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   5   5   6   6   7   10  10  10  14  15  12
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    early in the morning, then slight chance of
                    rain late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............34 increasing to 35 in the late morning and
                    early afternoon, then decreasing to 28 early in
                    the afternoon decreasing to 24 late in the
                    afternoon.
Min apparent temp...32.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    west 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 8 to 13 mph shifting to the west 7 to
                    8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph shifting to the west 13
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12000 knot-ft) increasing to poor (27700
                    knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to
                    marginal (35000 knot-ft) in the afternoon in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    increasing to marginal (37100 knot-ft) early in
                    the morning increasing to fair (41100 knot-ft)
                    in the afternoon late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to poor (22500 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................21 to 42.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93  93  92  92  91  92  92  90  82  73  65  62
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  40  40  30  20  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  42  41  41  40  39  38  37  38  39  40  38
Dewpoint........32  34  35  36  37  35  34  33  30  27  24  24
RH..............70  73  79  82  89  85  85  85  73  62  52  57
Aparnt tmp (F)..34  36  35  35  35  33  33  32  33  35  36  34
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  10  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.17  16  18  20  21  20  18  17  16  16  15  13
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..13  12  12  10  9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.0 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  18  18  20  21  20  18  17  20  17  16  13
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   3   1   1   2
ADI.............21  22  23  31  39  38  33  32  42  39  36  25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  15  15  24  35  35  28  28  41  40  37  23
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...CMC
Requested by...David DeGennaro
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526638.4/JKL
.DELDT 11/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.degennaro@usda.gov,kykic@firenet.gov