441
FSUS46 KLOX 121201
QPSLOX

Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
357 AM PST Wed Nov 12 2025

Precipitation forecasts in inches are provided in 3-hour
increments until 1600 followed by 6-hour increments until 0400.
Thunderstorm chances cover up to 0400 on day 1 only.

Light rainfall amounts greater than zero but less than a tenth of an
inch are shown as lgt.

The discussion covers the period from: Wed Nov 12 2025 through Tue Nov 18 2025.

&&

                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

San Luis Obispo County...

LSRC1:Cambria                          0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
SMRC1:Santa Margarita                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   lgt
NIPC1:Lopez Lake                       0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.01-0.03        0.01-0.05
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: <5%              <5%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: <5%              <5%

Peak rates expected to occur between: 0300-0600

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

Santa Barbara County...

SIYC1:Santa Maria                      0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SBTC1:Santa Barbara Potrero            0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
GBRC1:Gibraltar Dam                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SMCC1:San Marcos Pass                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SBFC1:Santa Barbara City               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.00             0.00
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 0%               0%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 0%               0%

Peak rates expected to occur between: N/A

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

Ventura County...

FGWC1:Fagan Canyon                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
HRCC1:Hopper Canyon                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MTDC1:Matilija Dam                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
VTUC1:Ventura City                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MORC1:Moorpark                         0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CRXC1:Circle X Ranch                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.00             0.00
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 0%               0%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 0%               0%

Peak rates expected to occur between: N/A

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

Los Angeles County...

WFKC1:West Fork Heliport               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
BDDC1:Big Dalton Dam                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
PCDC1:Pacoima Dam                      0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
FLTC1:La Canada Flintridge             0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
SAUC1:Saugus                           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
CQT:Downtown LA                        0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0
MLUC1:Malibu Big Rock Mesa             0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0   0.0

1-Hr Rates:              Coasts/Valleys   Foothills/Mountains
Expected Peak (in/hr):   0.00             0.00
Probability 0.50+ in/hr: 0%               0%
Probability 1.00+ in/hr: 0%               0%

Peak rates expected to occur between: N/A

Chance of Thunderstorms: 0%

&&

DISCUSSION:

A dry weather pattern will continue through this morning. A storm
system will impact the area in the late Wednesday night through
Saturday, possibly into Sunday, time frame. There is low confidence
in the progression of the storm, as models have not shown much
consistency run to run nor model to model. The most likely outcome
for total amounts is 1-2 inches across coasts and valleys, with 2-5
inches across mountains and foothills. Rain rates between a 0.25 and
0.50 inches per hour are possible, with locally up to 0.75 inches
per hour. However, there remains a 30 percent chance for higher
rainfall totals and rainfall rates, including a convective potential.

Another storm is possible for November 17th to 18th, but current
projections show this storm on the lighter side at this time.

$$