Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
867 FNUS71 KAKQ 011328 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Chippoax GC Prescribed Burn...Department of Forestry National Weather Service Wakefield VA 928 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Dry and warm weather will prevail Thursday as high pressure builds across the region with afternoon min RH values 35-40%. A very light SW wind in the morning will become 5 to 10 mph during the afternoon. A backdoor front drops across the region on Friday, with rain chances increasing Saturday. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 1 to 7 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (37100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............6. ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 52 in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........45 44 44 31 19 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Weather cov.....PTY Weather type....FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............60 62 63 68 73 79 83 84 86 87 87 87 RH..............100 97 93 81 68 58 47 44 39 38 36 36 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.2 2 3 5 5 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.4 2.3 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.8 Transp wind dir.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.1 1 1 2 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 LVORI...........10 8 7 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............1 1 1 5 12 23 30 36 41 46 51 52 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 3 8 15 21 25 29 32 36 37 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. Max humidity........90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1200 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............4. ADI.................2 to 31. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM Sky (%).........9 21 39 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 Temp............84 72 64 RH..............41 64 81 20 FT wind......S 5G8 S 4G6 SW 4G6 Mix hgt (ft)....4000 400 400 Transport wind..SW 6 S 5 S 6 LVORI...........1 3 5 ADI.............31 2 3 Haines index....5 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..21 2 2 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...ZIMMERMAN Requested by...Cody Noblitt Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412902.0/AKQ .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL cody.noblitt@dof.virginia.gov