Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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594
FNUS72 KCAE 130854
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for 2024 CSNWR Rx Fire...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Columbia SC
454 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly cloudy today with a chance for light rain showers late in
the afternoon. Surface winds expected to increase to around 10
mph from the southeast mid to late morning then shift more
southerly through the afternoon around 10 to 12 mph with
generally southerly transport winds around 15 mph. A strong
low level jet should keep surface winds up through the night
around 5 to 10 mph from the south to southeast.

Chances of rain increase overnight with more widespread rain
expected after midnight through midday Tuesday with scattered
thunderstorms possible.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    south 12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................23 early in the morning increasing to 103 in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........61  69  76  82  89  90  90  91
Weather cov.....                            SCH
Weather type....                            RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20
Temp............70  74  77  78  79  79  79  78
RH..............61  55  50  45  43  45  47  50
Aparnt tmp (F)..69  73  75  77  78  78  78  77
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   9   10  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  14  15  16  17  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.8 4.5 5.5 6.3 5.6 5.2 3.0
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind dir.140 160 170 170 180 180 190 200
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  13  15  15  17  17
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............23  40  67  79  103 65  73  55

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the evening, then chance of showers
                    late in the evening. Showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................7 to 37.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........92     93     95     98     100    98
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     40     60     70
Temp............76     69     66     64     63     63
RH..............55     70     81     90     93     97
Aparnt tmp (F)..74     69     66     64     63     63
20 FT wind......S 12   S 8    S 7    S 7    SE 8   SE 9
20 FT wind gust.15     10     10     12     13     13
20 FT wind dir..190    180    170    160    150    150
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   600    600    600    600    500
Transp wind dir.200    180    180    170    150    150
Transport wind..S 15   S 9    S 9    S 9    SE 9   SE 9
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      5      6
ADI.............37     9      7      8      11     11

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely early
                    in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through
                    the day. Showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 10 mph becoming around 9 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................11 to 30.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........97        93        89        91
Weather cov.....LIKELY    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).70        80        90        90
Temp............63        66        70        73
RH..............100       98        90        84
Aparnt tmp (F)..63        66        70        73
20 FT wind......SE 9G13   SE 10G14  S 10G15   S 9G14
20 FT wind dir..150       150       170       180
Mix hgt (ft)....600       900       1400      1900
Transp wind dir.150       180       180       210
Transport wind..SE 9      S 12      S 15      SW 13
LVORI...........7         5         4         4
ADI.............11        17        28        30

$$
Forecaster...Coleman
Requested by...Perrine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413835.0/CAE
.DELDT 05/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL derrick_odegard@fws.gov