995
FNUS72 KFFC 151352
FWSFFC

Spot Forecast for 2024 Touch-A-Truck...Athens-Clarke County
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
952 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 EDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Good Morning Alex...The forecast for Friday is at the current time
a lower confidence one.  Its currently just beyond the short range
models but what the trend is suggesting is a complex of storms moving
eastward out of AL early on Friday toward the state...but the trend and our thinking is
that the main area of storms will focus more along the Gulf coast
like we`ve seen in the past, putting our area in more of a broad
general rain shield.  But, that scenario is not a certainty and there
could be more storms around if that doesn`t happen.  We are expecting an upper level system to
approach the region Friday which will mostly likely trigger some type of inclement
weather, but there are still many other variables in play which raise
the uncertainty.  Winds don`t appear to be much of a problem at current
time unless there`s more thunderstorms around, i.e. out of the south 8mph gusting to 15mph.
We are currently running 70-80 pct  chances and model guidance is actually
slightly higher than that but we brought it down a tad due to those uncertainties.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Heat index..........82.
Wind chill..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 7 to 8 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.04 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  80  81  80  77  76
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  50  50  50  50
Temp............76  78  79  80  80  80
RH..............68  64  61  59  58  58
Heat index (F)..76  78  79  80  82  82
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.7   8   8   8   8   8
Surface wnd gst.9   12  13  13  12  12
Ceiling (kft)...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Heat index..........82.
Wind chill..........MISSING.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 8 to 12 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.46 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........76  75  74  76  79  81  82  83  83  82  80  79
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............80  79  77  75  72  70  69  68  68  68  67  67
RH..............60  63  67  73  80  86  89  91  92  94  96  98
Heat index (F)..80  79  77  75  72  70  69  68  68  68  67  67
Wind chill (F)..M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Surface wnd dir.S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   10  10  12  12
Surface wnd gst.12  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  15  16  17  17
Ceiling (kft)...

$$
Forecaster...Stellman
Requested by...Alex Bond
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2414274.0/FFC
.DELDT 05/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alex.bond@accgov.com