Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 230852
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
452 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...Showers today and storms this evening...

.DISCUSSION...Showers continue to stream through the region this morning with
gusty southwesterly winds upwards of 20 to 30 mph. A cold front will
move through the region late in the day. This front will bring chances for showers
and storms, some of which could be strong to severe. Winds will shift
to the northwest with cold air advection into Wednesday morning.


MIZ037>039-043>045-232100-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
452 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 5 PM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 PM. Rain showers likely
                    after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent near Lake Michigan and 34-39
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 27
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2100-2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 3800-4300 ft AGL increasing to
                    6500-7000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) increasing to 1630 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....26-31.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-39 percent near Lake Michigan and 21-26
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 27
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....490-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-232100-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
452 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM until 5 PM, then rain
                    showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 27 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL increasing to 8000-8500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....980 (excellent) increasing to 1790 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....27-32.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 11 mph shifting to the north
                    around 12 mph overnight. Gusts up to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....510-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-232100-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
452 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 12 PM until 5 PM, then rain
                    showers likely and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....760-830 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.16 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM, then a slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....31-36.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 13 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....310-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4800-5300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-232100-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
452 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1 PM until 5 PM, then rain
                    showers likely and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1090-1280 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM, then a chance of rain showers
                    until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 12 mph shifting to the north
                    around 13 mph overnight. Gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....380-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.17 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-232100-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
452 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2 PM, then rain showers likely and a
                    slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
                    around 31 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1050-1080 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.26 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM, then a chance of rain showers
                    until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 11 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 12 mph overnight. Gusts up to
                    23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....200-340 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. East winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds
8 to 13 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. Southeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Cloudy with showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
South winds 17 to 22 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely until midday, then
a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then a
chance of showers overnight. Lows in the mid 50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.

$$
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