Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
000
FNUS53 KJKL 172048
FWFJKL
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
448 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
...Low Humidity for Portions of the Morehead, Pineville, and Hazard
Branches on Thursday...
.DISCUSSION...Well above normal temperatures continue across the
area through Thursday. An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible
this evening as a weak cold front sags south across the area, but
most locations will remain dry through early Thursday evening and
humidity should bottom out near or below 30 percent in many locations
on Thursday afternoon. However, a more potent low pressure system
will track into the OH Valley Thursday evening and Thursday night,
sending a cold front across eastern KY and bringing much higher
chance for showers and thunderstorms. The front will move east of
eastern KY on Friday with rain chances ending from west to east by
evening. Dry weather is expected on Saturday along with cooler
temperatures. The cooler temperatures will continue to begin next week
with mainly precipitation free weather.
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-180845-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-Morgan-
Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City,
Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton,
Salyersville, Beattyville, and Inez
448 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Pcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 70 60
Precip type None None tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 53 (-9) 82 (+5) 57 71
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+28) 24 (-16) 100 44
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 6 G17
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 9 G22 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 7
Precip duration 1 2
Precip begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 8 PM
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.16
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index (MID) 5 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 6300 4200
Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 N 14
Vent rate (kt-ft) 37800 50400
ADI Early 14 33 8 37
ADI Late 6 47 11 48
Max LVORI Early 3 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 5 2 5 3
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-180845-
Rockcastle-Jackson-Laurel-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Owsley-
Clay-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville,
London, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Booneville,
and Manchester
448 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 70 70
Precip type None None tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 56 (-6) 85 (+11) 58 73
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+40) 28 (-13) 100 50
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 8 G20 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 6
Precip duration 1 2
Precip begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.23
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index (MID) 5 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 6800 3100
Transport wnd (mph) SW 7 NW 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 40800 34100
ADI Early 11 31 8 34
ADI Late 6 49 9 33
Max LVORI Early 5 7 3 6
Max LVORI Late 7 2 5 3
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ079-083-180845-
Pulaski-Wayne-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, and Monticello
448 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 80 60
Precip type None None tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 58 (-4) 85 (+11) 60 71
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+41) 32 (-10) 100 51
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var W 6
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 8 G18 S 6 S 5 NW 6
Precip duration 2 1
Precip begin 10 PM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 6 PM
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.15
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index (MID) 5 2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 6800 3200
Transport wnd (mph) S 9 N 13
Vent rate (kt-ft) 54400 35200
ADI Early 11 28 10 32
ADI Late 5 59 10 38
Max LVORI Early 5 7 3 6
Max LVORI Late 8 2 7 3
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-180845-
Floyd-Breathitt-Knott-Perry-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Hazard, Hyden, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run,
Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson
448 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mcldy
Chance precip (%) 0 0 60 80
Precip type None None tstms tstms
Temp (24H TREND) 56 (-6) 83 (+6) 58 73
Rh % (24H TREND) 100 (+31) 25 (-11) 100 54
20ftwnd-AM(mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 G17
20ftwnd-PM(mph) SW 8 G20 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 5
Precip duration 1 4
Precip begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.24
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index (MID) 5 3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL) 6500 3600
Transport wnd (mph) W 7 W 12
Vent rate (kt-ft) 39000 36000
ADI Early 12 46 5 48
ADI Late 15 52 11 34
Max LVORI Early 4 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 6 2 4 3
Remarks...ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. North winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph, becoming south early in the morning.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 50.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
$$