Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
669 FNUS72 KMHX 301932 FWSMHX Spot Forecast for VOA...NCWRC National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 332 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 01. If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather Service in Newport at (252)223-2328. .DISCUSSION... Gusty west-southwesterly winds up to 15-20 kt today will gradually ease tonight, but still remain elevated during the overnight hours. Chance of showers and a thunderstorm or two has lowered overnight but best chances (20-30%) are along the Crystal Coast with activity migrating onshore. Tomorrow, expecting scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to develop as sea breeze and surface trough converge in the afternoon and persist into the evening hours. May see some isolated to widely scattered, light showers in the morning, but best chance in afternoon with tstorm potential increasing from 1300edt onwards. Min RHs stay above 50% in light southwest to westerly winds less than 10 kt. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Isolated showers late in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 82. Min humidity........52 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and early afternoon becoming light and variable. Gusty and erratic winds expected near tstorms in the afternoon. Mixing Height.......Max 5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph. Vent Rate...........Max 44045 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 3. ADI.................Max 45. Stability class.....2. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.93 inHg. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........57 51 54 59 61 61 60 60 Weather cov.....ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............73 76 78 79 80 81 81 80 RH..............69 62 58 55 53 52 52 54 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 20 FT wind gust. 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.5 4.8 4.5 3.9 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W NW NW Transp wind spd.10 10 8 8 8 8 8 7 LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............36 45 41 33 35 33 43 32 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate mph-ft/1K.29 37 34 40 44 39 36 27 Sfc pres (in)...993 992 991 990 990 989 988 988 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening and overnight. LAL.................3 until 0200, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 61. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening and overnight. Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the south 3 to 8 mph. Vent Rate...........Min 1494 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 8. ADI.................Min 2. Stability class.....4. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.96 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........58 54 48 44 36 32 31 29 28 32 38 41 Weather cov.....SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 Temp............78 75 72 70 69 67 66 64 63 62 61 61 RH..............58 66 76 81 84 87 90 93 93 93 97 93 20 FT wind dir..SW S SE SE E E E E E E E NE 20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust. 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.N S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SW Transp wind spd.9 8 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 7 ADI.............25 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 Vrate mph-ft/1K.20 7 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 Sfc pres (in)...988 989 990 992 994 995 995 995 995 995 995 996 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........41 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing Height.......Max 6100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the northwest around 5 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the northeast 5 to 7 mph in the late morning and early afternoon shifting to the east around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Vent Rate...........Max 42090 mph-ft. LVORI...............Max 9. ADI.................Max 51. Stability class.....3. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Sfc pressure........29.93 to 30.02 inHg. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........42 46 28 20 11 10 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............61 63 72 79 82 84 RH..............97 97 71 54 44 41 20 ft wind......NE 2 NE 3 NE 4 NE 5 E 5 E 6 20 ft wind gust.5 5 9 9 9 9 Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 2300 4100 6100 6000 Transport wind..SW 3 W 3 NE 5 E 6 E 7 E 7 LVORI...........8 8 3 1 1 1 ADI.............1 3 15 33 51 45 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate mph-ft/1K.2 2 11 26 42 40 Sfc pres (in)...29.97 30.00 30.02 30.00 29.97 29.94 $$ Forecaster...Bowen Requested by...Jennifer Prince Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412673.1/MHX .DELDT 04/30/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jennifer.prince@ncwildlife.org