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000
FXUS64 KMOB 150422
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1122 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Patches to areas of fog are anticipated to develop overnight, with
IFR to potentially VLIFR conditions, then burn off by midday
Monday leaving VFR conditions. Calm or light and variable winds
overnight become southerly near 10 knots on Monday. /29

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 628 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024/

..New AVIATION...

AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

VFR conditions over the area will be followed by patches to areas
of fog with IFR to potentially VLIFR conditions developing late
tonight. The fog dissipates by mid Monday morning leaving VFR
conditions. Winds become calm or light and variable early this
evening. A southerly flow at 5 to 10 knots is expected on Monday
for much of the area except for a bit stronger near the coast.
/29

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024/

.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

A dry northwesterly flow pattern aloft will prevail across the
region through Monday, keeping our area rain-free and under mostly
clear skies. Only area of concern will be the potential for patchy
to areas of fog overnight tonight. Guidance seems to be relatively
confident in the potential across areas north of I-10. The only
question is the current high clouds. If they are able to move out
of the area and skies clear then fog seems likely across most
interior areas and a Dense Fog Advisory will likely be needed
tonight. Expect high temperatures in the low to mid 80s inland to
upper 70s along the coast. Lows ranging in the upper 50s to low
60s gradually increasing throughout the period. A LOW risk of rip
currents will continue through the period. BB/03

SHORT and LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 426 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Generally quiet weather continues during the short and long term
from Monday night through Sunday. Upper ridging dominates the
forecast through Tuesday night before we shift to more westerly
flow aloft as a trough ejects north of the region Wednesday.
Several shortwaves embedded within strong subtropical flow will
move through the area Thursday through Sunday potentially bringing
some scattered pops throughout the end of the week and weekend.
The exact timing and progression of these waves will likely
determine when and where we see small chances for rain. Otherwise,
warmer conditions will prevail with highs climbing into the mid to
upper 80s most of the week. Overnight lows gradually follow suit,
going from middle and upper 50`s Monday night to lower to middle
60`s for Tuesday through Friday nights. A Moderate risk for rip
currents will return Tuesday, lasting through the rest of the
week. MM/25

MARINE...
Issued at 335 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow will prevail
through Friday before winds become light offshore this weekend.
BB/03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      57  80  61  80  65  80  65  84 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0   0
Pensacola   61  77  63  78  65  79  67  81 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      63  75  64  77  67  77  68  79 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   52  83  57  84  60  83  62  87 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
Waynesboro  53  83  59  83  62  83  63  86 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
Camden      53  83  58  83  61  81  63  85 /   0   0   0   0   0  10   0  10
Crestview   52  83  54  83  58  82  61  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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