Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
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909 FNUS73 KOAX 291207 FWSOAX Spot Forecast for Lone Tree Rx...BIA-Winnebago Agency National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 707 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 29. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Fire weather concerns will remain rather low through the week as we have several chances for showers and storms. Today will be the dry day with temperatures topping out in the mid mid 60s and RH values falling into the 40s. Winds will be out of the west at 10-15 mph today, with a few gusts near 20 mph, before weakening in the early afternoon and becoming southeasterly late this evening. Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 20-25 mph Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 35-40 percent .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 63. RH..................85 percent at ignition...Min 52 percent. Eye level winds.....West winds 8 to 11 mph with gusts to around 16 mph. Surface winds (mph).West winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 26 mph. Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 12 mph at ignition...otherwise West winds 12 to 16 mph with gusts to around 21 mph. Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 20 to 22 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good /44900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /83200 knot-ft/. GFDI................1. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........76 74 77 68 63 62 57 52 46 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............44 47 49 50 53 55 57 60 61 RH..............85 78 72 71 68 62 57 55 55 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..12 13 13 13 13 15 14 14 12 20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 19 19 21 20 20 18 Eye lvl wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W Eye lvl wnd spd.9 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 9 Eye lvl wnd gst.14 14 14 14 14 16 15 15 13 Surface wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W Surface wnd spd.15 16 16 16 16 19 18 18 15 Surface wnd gst.23 23 23 24 24 26 25 25 22 Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.3 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W Transp wind spd.22 22 22 22 22 22 22 21 20 GFDI............0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 Haines index....2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 SDspl kt-ft/100045 56 66 72 77 82 83 78 62 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Temperature.........Min 44. RH..................Max 92 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph shifting to the northeast late in the evening, then shifting to the southeast up to 6 mph late in the evening. Surface winds (mph).West winds 11 to 13 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 10 mph late in the evening. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to 9 mph late in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph shifting to the northeast 5 to 6 mph late in the evening, then shifting to the east 7 to 10 mph late in the evening shifting to the southeast early in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Good (40200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (600 knot-ft) late in the night. GFDI................1. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........33 6 5 5 13 10 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............62 58 51 48 47 45 RH..............52 60 75 77 82 86 20 ft wind......W 10 NW 6 NE 5 E 6 SE 6 SE 7 20 ft wind gust.14 8 6 8 8 10 Eye level wind..W 8 NW 4 NE 4 E 4 SE 4 SE 5 Eye lvl wnd gst.11 6 5 6 6 8 Surface wind....W 13 NW 8 NE 6 E 8 SE 8 SE 9 Surface wnd gst.18 10 8 10 10 13 Mix hgt (ft)....3900 500 400 400 400 400 Transport wind..W 16 NW 7 NE 6 E 8 SE 9 SE 10 GFDI............1 0 0 0 0 0 Haines index....3 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/100040 11 2 2 3 4 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 76. RH..................Min 55 percent. Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 12 mph with gusts to around 17 mph shifting to the 13 to 16 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late in the afternoon, then decreasing to 7 to 8 mph with gusts to around 18 mph late in the afternoon. Surface winds (mph).South winds 9 to 20 mph with gusts to around 29 mph shifting to the 21 to 26 mph with gusts to around 33 mph late in the afternoon, then decreasing to 11 to 13 mph with gusts to around 30 mph late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 17 mph with gusts to around 23 mph shifting to the south 18 to 23 mph with gusts to around 26 mph late in the afternoon, then decreasing to 10 to 12 mph with gusts to around 24 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph increasing to south 29 to 32 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (101700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. GFDI................1. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........21 27 22 40 65 67 Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC CHANCE DEFNTE Temp............45 49 62 69 75 75 RH..............92 87 72 64 57 55 20 ft wind......SE 7 SE 8 SE 13 S 16 S 20 S 17 20 ft wind gust.11 13 19 23 26 26 Eye level wind..SE 5 SE 6 SE 10 S 12 S 15 S 13 Eye lvl wnd gst.8 10 14 17 19 19 Surface wind....SE 9 SE 10 SE 16 S 20 S 25 S 21 Surface wnd gst.14 16 24 29 32 32 Mix hgt (ft)....400 400 1200 2400 4500 3600 Transport wind..SE 10 SE 13 S 20 S 23 S 30 S 31 GFDI............0 0 1 1 2 2 Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/10003 6 20 60 93 100 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 11 mph. .THURSDAY... Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY... Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 13 mph. $$ Forecaster...KG Requested by...Duwayne Traversie RXB2 Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412677.0/OAX .DELDT 04/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL duwayne.traversie@bia.gov