Text Products for AFD Issued by SHV

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 141536
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1036 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1036 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

The morning stratocu cigs have become widespread this morning, and
are trapped beneath a steep capping inversion near 925mb as noted
on the 12Z KSHV raob. However, given the shallow depth of the
moist layer, continued warm advection and daytime insolation
should yield sufficient mixing such that the some of the drier
air noted above the inversion layer should gradually mix down to
the sfc through the day, thus eroding some of these cigs by the
afternoon. However, the cigs may be persistent a bit longer this
afternoon over E TX/SE OK/adjacent SW AR/portions of NW LA where
low level theta-e ridging will persist, as well as shallow
orographic lifting in the higher terrain of the Ouachitas of SE
OK/Wrn AR. These cigs may also help taper back max temps a bit
which should result in slightly cooler conditions than what was
observed Saturday with ample insolation/drier air under a mostly
sunny sky. Thus, have lowered max temps 1-2 degrees across E TX,
with only minor tweaks elsewhere. The onset of mixing will also
result in some occasional wind gusts to 20-25kts today, with winds
decoupling slightly after sunset.

Zone update already out...grids will be available shortly.

15

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 632 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

For the 14/12Z TAF update, MVFR/IFR cigs will predominate across
western terminals especially at the beginning and end of the
period. Southerly surface winds will gain speed through the
daytime hours before gradually slackening by the end of the
period. /16/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  85  65  86  68 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  84  62  84  66 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  82  61  80  63 /   0   0   0  30
TXK  84  64  83  66 /   0   0   0  20
ELD  84  61  83  64 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  83  65  83  68 /   0   0   0  20
GGG  83  64  84  67 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  84  65  86  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
AVIATION...16

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office