761
FNUS75 KTWC 142230
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Toyo Fire...San Carlos Reservation
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
330 PM MST Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 MST on May 15.

.DISCUSSION...Warm conditions with breezy afternoon winds are expected
to continue Wednesday with near critical fire weather conditions
given the afternoon breeziness and low relative humidity. Meanwhile,
the combination of modest mid  level moisture and a weak weather disturbance will
once again result in afternoon cloud build-ups, especially along
the higher terrain. However, these aren`t expected to result in
gusty/erratic outflow winds for Wednesday. There is a slightly better
chance of cloud build-ups Thursday, and these have the potential to produce
localized gusty outflow winds.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....90-93 degrees.
Min humidity........10-13 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 12 knots.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....56-59 degrees.
Max humidity........46-49 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 11 knots.

$$
Forecaster...LADER
Requested by...Stewart Turner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413778.4/TWC
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sturnerforestry@gmail.com

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