Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 260743
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
243 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 234 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Areas of shallow fog were developing over the region early this
morning due to recent rainfall and light winds. Given combination of
moisture being very shallow and high clouds streaming in aloft areas
of dense fog look to be limited this morning. Otherwise, current
satellite water vapor imagery shows next upper level wave over
Montana/Wyoming. This system will race southeast across the central
plains today with increasing mid-level clouds. We could see a narrow
fleet-footed broken band of light rain or sprinkles race southward
just ahead of the PV anomaly. Otherwise precipitation chances look
better for locations west and southwest of the area.

Dry and pleasant weather days will be in store for Kansas on Friday
and Saturday with upper level ridge amplifying across the central
plains, and surface high pressure remaining over the area resulting
in lighter winds.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 234 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

High confidence for warm above normal temperatures to prevail for
Sunday into early next week, as long range models remain consistent
with a upper level pattern change to a more pronounced southwest
flow regime aloft. This pattern change will also bring much
richer Gulf moisture northward into Kansas for this period. A
couple upper level waves look to eject out into the central
plains, and interact with this rich moisture on Tuesday and
Wednesday thus creating a favorable signal for severe weather to
affect much of the region. We will continue to watch model trends
for this possible severe weather pattern next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Wed Apr 25 2018

As skies clear and high pressure builds into the region, fog is
expected to develop along the sfc ridge axis, impacting much of
the area with IFR/LIFR through 13-14Z before quickly mixing out.

Another progressive shortwave trough will dig across the area on
Thu shifting winds to the northwest around midday across central
KS and later in the afternoon/early evening across south central
and southeast KS. Precipitation chances are expected to remain
fairly low with this next system although an increase in mid
clouds is likely.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 234 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Grassland fire weather concerns will remain low for the next couple
of days but southerly winds will increase during the afternoon hours
for Sunday and Monday. This will raise the grassland fire danger
levels into the very high category for that period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    69  41  72  45 /  20  20   0   0
Hutchinson      70  39  72  43 /  20  10   0   0
Newton          69  38  71  44 /  20  10   0   0
ElDorado        68  40  71  44 /  20  20   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   68  40  71  44 /  10  20   0   0
Russell         68  35  75  41 /  20  10   0   0
Great Bend      68  37  74  42 /  20  10   0   0
Salina          69  38  74  42 /  20  10   0   0
McPherson       70  37  72  42 /  20  10   0   0
Coffeyville     68  44  71  45 /  10  20   0   0
Chanute         68  43  71  44 /  10  20   0   0
Iola            68  42  70  44 /  10  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    68  43  71  44 /  10  20   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Frost Advisory until 8 AM CDT this morning for KSZ032-033-
047>050.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...MWM
FIRE WEATHER...CDJ


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.