Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
076 FXUS62 KKEY 071423 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1023 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1023 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 Expansive high pressure across the western North Atlantic is maintaining moderate east to southeast breezes across the forecast area this morning. This persistent east southeasterly flow has brought in dew points in the lower to almost mid 70s, and temperatures in the lower to mid 80s already today. It has definitely been a muggy start to the day across the Florida Keys! This morning`s sounding sampled a PW of 1.54", which is nearing the 75th percentile for atmospheric moisture for this time of year. Despite this decent moisture profile, shower activity has not been able to capitalize on it, and KBYX is currently detecting no meteorological echoes. A few showers embedded in the east southeast flow have been waxing and waning across the Straits of Florida, but have diminished. For the remainder of the day, expect the continuation of muggy conditions, with little relief from cloud cover or showers forecast. A few island communities may see some sprinkles, but otherwise, most of the island chain will remain dry. The forecast is on track and no changes were necessary. && .MARINE... Issued at 1023 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, high pressure over the western North Atlantic will maintain moderate to occasionally fresh east to southeast breezes through Thursday night. Breezes will slacken and veer to the south and southwest Friday into the weekend, as the high shifts southward over the western Atlantic, and a weak frontal boundary stalls north of the Florida Keys coastal waters. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 1023 AM EDT Tue May 7 2024 VFR conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH through the TAF period with FEW to SCT skies AOA 2k ft. Near surface winds will be east to southeasterly at 10 to 15 knots, occasionally gusting to near 20 kts during the afternoon. && .CLIMATE... On this day in 1937, the daily record rainfall of 4.08" was recorded in Key West. Rainfall records date back to 1871. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 87 79 87 80 / 10 10 0 0 Marathon 86 79 87 80 / 10 10 0 0 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...NB Aviation/Nowcasts....DP Data Acquisition.....DP/NB Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest