Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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AXUS73 KABR 191543
DGTABR
MNC011-155-SDC013-017-021-025-029-031-037-039-041-045-049-051-057-
059-065-069-075-085-089-091-107-109-115-117-119-129-211545-

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1043 AM CDT Fri Oct 19 2018 /943 AM MDT Fri Oct 19 2018/

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVING ACROSS THE REGION...

SYNOPSIS...

Late September through mid October saw a pattern change across the
region, bringing wetter and cooler conditions. Frequent rounds of
rainfall visited the Dakotas and Minnesota, and even the first
significant snowfall of the season. Much of the area is actually
above normal now for precipitation dating back to September 1st. The
return to wet and cool weather has led to improvements in drought
conditions across the region, including the removal of D2 (Severe)
drought across northeast South Dakota.

D1 (Moderate) drought counties: Northern Stanley, Sully, eastern
Potter, Faulk, eastern Edmunds, southern Brown.

D0 (Abnormally Dry) counties: Central through northeast South Dakota.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS:
None known.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS:
According to the latest release of the South Dakota Crop Progress and
Condition report for the week ending October 14th, topsoil moisture
supplies was rated 12 percent short or very short. This is a
significant improvement in conditions compared to mid-September when
topsoil moisture was 47 percent short or very short. Currently,
subsoil moisture supplies is rated 32 percent short or very short.
This is a 15 percent improvement in conditions reported in mid-
September. The pattern change to wetter conditions has really helped
topsoil moisture, although there are still lingering dryness issues
in subsoil due to overall longer term precipitation deficits.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS:
The latest Crop Progress and Condition report for the state of South
Dakota showed corn condition at 16 percent poor or very poor, with 17
percent harvested. Soybeans are 14 percent poor or very poor, with 29
percent harvested. Sorghum is 7 percent poor or very poor, with 21
percent harvested. Pasture and range conditions are rated 22 percent
poor or very poor. All crops are behind average harvested due to the
recent wet weather making conditions unsuitable.

RIVER AND STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS:
Current 7-day average streamflows are normal to above normal across
the region.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS:
Fire danger has generally been low during the wet and cool pattern.
Although, over the past week as we`ve begun to dry out, there have
been more occurrences of high to very high fire danger whenever
strong winds coincide with low relative humidity.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

Over the past 30 days, precipitation has been 0 to 2 inches above
normal for much of the region. In fact, north central South Dakota
eastward to the James River valley is 2 to 4 inches above normal.
Portions of west central Minnesota are also seeing these above normal
readings. The previous area of D2 (Severe) drought fell in this area
of 2 to 4 inches above normal, which led to the removal of D2.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

The latest 8 to 14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center
calls for near normal temperatures, with an increased probability for
above normal precipitation. The latest 3 to 4 week outlook shows an
increased probability for above normal temperatures and below normal
precipitation.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

According to the latest Probabilistic Hydrologic Outlook issued by
the National Weather Service in Aberdeen, there is generally a 10
percent or less chance for any of the rivers in the forecast area to
reach flood stage in the next 90 days.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

Since there is no longer any D2 (Severe) drought anywhere in the
forecast area, this product is not scheduled to be updated. If D2
(Severe) drought conditions return in the future, another Drought
Information Statement will be released.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found at
the following web addresses:

US Drought Monitor...http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu
National Integrated Drought Information System...http://www.drought.gov
NOAA Drought Page...http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought
High Plains Regional Climate Center...https://hprcc.unl.edu
Local Weather Information...http://www.weather.gov/abr
USDA Crop Information...http://www.nass.usda.gov/index.asp
South Dakota State Climate Office...https://climate.sdstate.edu
SDSU Extension...http://igrow.org
Drought Impact Reporter...http://droughtreporter.unl.edu/map

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION...

National Weather Service...http://water.weather.gov
US Geological Survey...https://www.usgs.gov/water
US Army Corps of Engineers...http://www.usace.army.mil

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

The Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the National
Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental Information,
the USDA, state and regional center climatologists and the National
Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this statement has been
gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites, state cooperative
extension services, the USDA, USACE and USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

If you have questions or comments about this Drought Information
Statement, please contact:

National Weather Service
Travis Tarver
824 Brown County 14S
Aberdeen SD 57401
Phone...605-225-0519
travis.tarver@noaa.gov

$$
TMT


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