Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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511
FNUS53 KAPX 201901
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

...Warming during the daytime...

.DISCUSSION...Quiet weather will continue over the next few days
as high pressure yields warming days and cool nights through
early next week. Low pressure will then bring rain chances for
midweek.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-210830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except around 31 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (280).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 3 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except around 30 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 83-88 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (250).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-210830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (310).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 83-88 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (220).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-210830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....53-58...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the west around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 3 mph shifting to the east after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 40-45 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (230).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-210830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the southwest
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....54-59...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent...except 36-41 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (340).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-210830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
301 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (390).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 3 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (320).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AS



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