Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 202031
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for BW Parkers Branch Units 10,11,12...VA Department of Game and Inland Fisheries
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
431 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Cool and dry conditions continue through the weekend as high pressure
becomes centered from the Great Lakes to the mid Atlantic region.
Light N to NE winds Saturday morning will become light and variable
during the afternoon. Moisture will increase early next week as
the high slides offshore and low pressure tracks northeast from
the Gulf coast.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 300-600 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 13 mph decreasing to 2 to 5 mph late
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Temp................60  57  53  48  45  43  41  39  38  38  37  36
RH..................24  30  44  49  54  58  62  65  69  70  73  76
20 FT wind dir......NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd......5   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.....10  8   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft).......3.3 2.2 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.....NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.....13  10  8   7   5   3   2   2   2   2   3   5
LVORI...............1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................44  5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Chc of pcpn (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/1000....35  20  8   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light N to NE winds, becoming light and variable
                    during the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Mixing height.......300-600 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 4 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............3   3   3   4   6   8   10  13  15  18  21  24
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Temp................36  37  42  48  53  57  59  61  63  65  65  65
RH..................77  75  67  58  47  40  36  33  31  29  28  30
20 FT wind dir......N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  VAR VAR VAR
20 FT wind spd......1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.....2   2   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
Mix hgt (kft).......0.3 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.2 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5
Transp wind dir.....N   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.....6   7   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   5   3   3
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................3   8   9   14  20  22  23  23  22  19  20  17
Chc of pcpn (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/1000....2   3   3   10  15  18  20  21  22  18  15  13

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...John Kirk
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807145.1/AKQ
.EMAIL john.kirk@dgif.virginia.gov



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