Text Products for FWS Issued by LBF

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Versions: 1 2 3 4
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FNUS73 KLBF 160225
FWSLBF

Spot Forecast for S Seneca...Mullen Fire Dpt
National Weather Service North Platte NE
925 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact the NWS North Platte office at 308-532-0921 (or
at 1-800-603-3562) if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface low tracking through the area will result in variable
winds for much of the overnight with a rapid increase behind the
system. Gusty, erratic winds ahead of the cold front with a wind
shift from the south to west and northwest with the passage of the
front expected within the next 1 to 2 hours. Confidence on timing
remains medium at this time. Strong northwest winds after sunrise
on Tuesday with gusts of 50 miles per hour continuing through the
day. Additional thunderstorm development will be possible the
within the next few hours. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    evening, then showers likely and chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 21 to 28 mph with gusts
                    to around 46 mph decreasing to 12 to 14 mph
                    overnight, then shifting to the east 8 to 9 mph
                    after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Eye level winds.....Breezy. Southeast winds around 17 mph with
                    gusts to around 23 mph decreasing to 13 to 17
                    mph with gusts to around 28 mph in the late
                    evening and overnight, then decreasing to 7 to
                    8 mph overnight shifting to the east around 5
                    mph after 3 am.
LAL.................3 increasing to 4 late in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 3 overnight.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

TIME (CDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  31  43  45  45  58  66  83  84
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............72  69  67  64  63  60  58  57  55
RH..............55  60  64  70  70  75  77  75  80
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..28  28  28  28  21  14  12  8   9
20 FT wind gust.39  39  39  46  35  23  20  14  13
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.17  17  17  17  13  8   7   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.23  23  23  28  21  14  12  8   8
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Showers likely early in the morning.
                    Chance of thunderstorms in the morning and
                    early afternoon. Rain showers.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph shifting to
                    the north 13 to 16 mph late in the morning,
                    then increasing to northwest 20 to 29 mph with
                    gusts to around 44 mph early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 31 to 32 mph with gusts to around
                    49 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning and early afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Windy. East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 6 to 10 mph in the morning, then
                    shifting to the north 10 to 14 mph late in the
                    morning increasing to northwest 17 to 19 mph
                    with gusts to around 29 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3 decreasing to 1 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  93  92  91  89  91  97  97  97  98  98  98
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   1   1
Temp............54  53  52  54  57  58  58  57  57  55  54  53
RH..............83  89  93  86  77  72  72  75  69  72  71  71
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   10  13  13  16  16  20  23  28  29  31  32
20 FT wind gust.14  16  21  20  22  25  28  33  40  44  48  49
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   6   8   8   10  10  12  14  17  17  19  19
Eye lvl wnd gst.8   10  13  12  13  15  17  20  24  26  29  29
Haines index....5   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Rain
                    showers early in the evening, then slight
                    chance of thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Chance of showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Northwest winds 26 to 35 mph with gusts
                    to around 49 mph decreasing to 16 to 24 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Eye level winds.....Windy. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts
                    to around 29 mph decreasing to 10 to 12 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 2 early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 1 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........97  94  92  89  87  75  63  51  40  28  17  17
Weather cov.....DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  52  48  48  47  47  47  46  45  44  43  41
RH..............69  66  80  77  79  79  79  79  79  79  76  76
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..35  33  30  30  26  26  24  21  20  18  17  16
20 FT wind gust.49  47  41  41  37  37  33  29  26  25  24  23
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.21  20  18  18  16  16  14  13  12  11  10  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.29  28  25  25  22  22  20  17  16  15  14  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Viken/WFO LBF
Requested by...Mullen Chief
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411054.0/LBF
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 911@keithcountyne.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
