Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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FNUS73 KTOP 171348
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR PIPELINE RX...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
848 AM CDT Tue Apr 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Wind speeds and then wind direction changes will be the primary
concerns today and tonight. Winds are already sustained from the
east around 15 mph and will not decrease much today. The most
likely time for weaker winds will be in the afternoon as a warm
front approaches from the south. This front will also bring a more
southeasterly component to the wind.

Winds tonight will shift to the south in the late evening then to
the west around 1 AM as a storm system passes through with
sustained speeds around 22 mph and gusts up to 35 mph. Wind speeds
will increase a bit more Wednesday and become more from the
northwest.


.TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................55 percent AT IGNITION...MIN 40.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 ft agl at IGNITION...
                    increasing to 2400-3900 ft agl late in the
                    morning.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS east AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    East winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph shifting to the southeast with gusts to
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR very low AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.

Time (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........52     52     53     54     54     47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............38     46     55     64     73     76
RH..............64     55     49     45     41     40
20 ft wind......E 14   E 14   E 11   SE 11  SE 11  SE 14
20 ft wind gust.25     25     20     15     15     25
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 71 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3500 ft agl decreasing to 300-1300 ft agl
                    early in the evening.
WIND (20 FT)........Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph shifting to the
                    south 17 to 22 mph late in the evening, then
                    shifting to the west after midnight. Gusts up
                    to 35 mph.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 30 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 ft agl increasing to 6300-7400 ft
                    agl.
WIND (20 FT)........Breezy. Northwest winds 21 to 26 mph with gusts
                    to around 40 mph.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...POAGE
Requested by...JONATHAN DUNBAR
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1806731.2/TOP



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