Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Versions:
1
2
586
FNUS71 KCAR 161352
FWSCAR
Spot Forecast for Spruce Mountain Lake Fire...Maine Forest Service
National Weather Service Caribou ME
952 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact NWS Caribou at 207-492-0166 with any further questions.
.DISCUSSION...
Showers will be approaching from the north this morning but will
likely remain north of the area. Cannot rule out an isolated shower
with afternoon heating but confidence is low. Northerly winds this
morning will shift around to the south with the sea breeze moving
in late this morning, around 11 am or noon.
Weather Coverage Abbreviations... SCH=Slight Chance, ISO=Isolated,
CHC=Chance, SCT=Scattered, LKY=Likely, NUM=Numerous,
DEF=Definite, WID=Widespread, OCL=Occasional, PDS=Periods,
ARS=Areas, PTY=Patchy
Weather Type Abbreviations... DYT=Dry Thunderstorms, TSM=Thunderstorms,
SN=Snow, RN=Rain, SW=Snow Showers, RW=Rain Showers,
DZL=Drizzle, FZR=Freezing Rain, FZD=Freezing Drizzle, SLT=Sleet,
FZF=Freezing Fog, IFG=Ice Fog, HAZ=Haze, BSN=Blowing Snow,
SMK=Smoke, FST=Frost, FZS=Freezing Spray, RS=Rain/Snow,
DZF=Drizzle/Fog, SNF=Snow/Fog, RNF=Rain/Fog,
ZRS=Freezing Rain/Snow
Other Abbreviations... NA=Not Available, M=Missing
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Max apparent temp...71.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 4 mph.
Wind shift..........Winds becoming south around 5 mph late this morning.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (50700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................49 to 56 increasing to 54 to 62 early in the
afternoon, then decreasing to 45 late in the
afternoon decreasing to 19 to 26 late in the
afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.02 inches.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69 69 68 70 72 67 65 60
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............68 69 71 71 71 71 70 70
RH..............70 70 66 63 63 63 66 66
Aparnt tmp (F)..68 69 71 71 71 71 70 70
20 FT wind dir..W SW S S SE S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 4 4 5 5 5 4 2
20 FT wind gust.5 6 7 10 10 10 7 4
Eye lvl wnd dir.W SW S S SE S S S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 3 3 4 4 4 3 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 5 5 7 7 7 5 3
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 6.4 6.9 7.2 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 8 8 8 7 6 3 2
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............49 56 60 62 54 45 26 19
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35 45 48 51 45 37 21 13
Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the evening. Patchy fog
overnight. Areas of fog overnight.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Max apparent temp...69.
Eye level winds.....Light east winds.
Wind shift..........None
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 2 mph shifting to the
northeast 3 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (33100 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (12500 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................17 to 24 decreasing to 2 to 5 early in the
evening.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56 54 49 45 44 43 45 45 44 52 54 56
Weather cov.....SCH PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....RW FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............69 66 62 60 58 58 57 57 56 52 52 51
RH..............70 78 87 90 93 90 93 90 90 100 100 100
Aparnt tmp (F)..69 66 62 60 58 58 57 57 56 52 52 51
20 FT wind dir..S S SW E SE N NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 4 3
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 4 2 2 4 6 7 7 6
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S SW E SE N NE NE NE NE NE NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 3 3 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 3 3 4 5 5 4
Mix hgt (kft)...6.2 5.8 5.3 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.7
Transp wind dir.SE E NE NE E E E E E E NE NE
Transp wind spd.2 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10
LVORI...........3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 9 9 9
ADI.............17 24 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..13 17 21 25 23 26 25 27 27 30 29 33
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Slight chance of rain showers
late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Max apparent temp...71.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 4 mph
early in the afternoon, then becoming light
late in the afternoon.
Wind shift..........None
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (37700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (68300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............7 early in the morning.
ADI.................5 increasing to 54 early in the morning.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
early in the afternoon, then becoming light
late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59 62 65 62 60 57 55 52 49 51 52 54
Weather cov..... PTY SCH
Weather type.... FOG RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............51 53 56 58 61 63 65 68 70 71 70 67
RH..............100 100 90 83 78 72 68 63 59 57 59 65
Aparnt tmp (F)..51 53 56 58 61 63 65 68 70 71 70 67
20 FT wind dir..NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 10 10 8 7
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE NE E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 3.9 4.2 4.6 5.2 5.8 6.3 6.7 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.2
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 13
LVORI...........9 4 M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............5 54 M M M M M M M M M M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..38 39 42 46 47 52 57 60 62 68 66 68
Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD
$$
Forecaster...BUSTER
Requested by...Malcolm MacDonald
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414396.0/CAR
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL malcolm.macdonald@maine.gov