Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
739 FNUS71 KAKQ 010845 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Nassawango...The Nature Conservancy National Weather Service Wakefield VA 445 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 01. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... A weak front drops through the area today with morning clouds giving way to a mostly sunny sky by this afternoon. The biggest challenge today will be a changing wind direction. Winds start off primarily out of the W to NW during the morning hours, becoming E and then SE during the mid afternoon hours (approx 3-4 PM). The onshore wind will keep RH values at our above 50% for much of today. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 3 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to 8 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (22900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. ADI.................13 to 32. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........82 71 60 49 49 49 49 42 34 26 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 Temp............66 69 71 74 76 77 78 77 77 76 RH..............81 73 68 62 56 54 50 52 52 54 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW N N N NE NE E SE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT wind gust.9 9 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.9 2.6 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.0 3.4 2.9 Transp wind dir.NW N N N N N NW NW SW S Transp wind spd.8 9 8 8 6 5 3 5 6 8 LVORI...........4 3 3 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 ADI.............13 20 25 32 28 22 18 21 26 28 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..9 14 19 23 20 16 14 15 19 19 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Min temperature.....Around 55. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 3 to 8 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1200 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............6. ADI.................2 to 21. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........23 19 16 16 16 16 18 19 20 27 33 39 Weather cov..... PTY PTY Weather type.... FOG FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............73 69 65 63 61 60 58 58 57 57 57 56 RH..............59 66 75 81 84 87 93 93 96 96 96 100 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE S S SE SE S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.11 9 9 8 8 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.8 7 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 10 ADI.............21 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..14 9 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 85. Min humidity........38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 2 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 13 to 15 mph late in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (62000 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............6. ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........40 42 25 15 11 9 Weather cov.....PATCHY Weather type....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............57 62 72 80 84 84 RH..............100 90 64 49 41 40 20 ft wind......S 2 S 3 S 5 SW 7 SW 9 SW 8 20 ft wind gust.5 7 9 12 14 14 Mix hgt (ft)....500 600 2100 3600 5200 4500 Transport wind..S 3 S 3 SW 10 SW 14 W 14 W 15 LVORI...........10 6 2 1 1 1 ADI.............1 3 27 61 82 82 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 2 18 44 62 61 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD $$ Forecaster...BUTNER Requested by...Gabriel Devin Cahalan Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412876.0/AKQ .DELDT 05/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL gcahalan@tnc.org