821
FNUS73 KDTX 151536
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Site 52 Rx Burn...MIDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1136 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on May 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather for the bulk of the area today with near
normal temperatures under northeast winds. Warmer Thursday with highs
in the 70s however increasing moisture advection keeps min RH
values similar to today in the 40s. Showers and storm possible
Thursday night into Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Good (MAX...500).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........71  64  62  63  56
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68  70  71  71  72
RH..............55  52  48  46  44
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.14  14  14  14  14
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 4.6 5.2 5.2 5.2
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISPER....401 509 523 576 571

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...20).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........43     25     17     15     15     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     67     59     54     50     49
RH..............44     51     64     71     75     78
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE     NE     N      N      N      N
EYE LVL WND SPD.8      8      8      6      6      5
EYE LVL WND GST.14     14     12     11     10     7
MIX HGT (KFT)...4900   800    600    500    400    400
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3
SMOKE DISPER....592    97     63     49     39     27

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 4 mph early in the
                    morning...becoming light, then becoming
                    northeast around 4 mph late in the
                    morning...becoming southeast up to 6
                    mph...increasing to 6 to 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph...becoming south 5 to 9
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Fair (MAX...273).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........43        45        41        53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............48        57        70        75
RH..............81        69        58        51
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4       NE 4      SE 5      SE 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..6         6         6         8
MIX HGT (FT)....300       800       3300      4500
HAINES INDEX....3         4         4         4
SMOKE DISPER....17        33        197       315

$$
Forecaster...Behnke
Requested by...Tom Barnes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414288.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL barnest2@michigan.gov