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000
FXUS64 KEWX 221712
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1212 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 156 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Surface high pressure has built into our area overnight leading to
cool, well below normal low temperatures this morning. A weak mid
level impulse will pass to our south today keeping any rain away
from our area, however an increase in mid level clouds is expected.
Although, surface high pressure moves off to the east allowing
southerly lower level flow to return, the above mentioned clouds
will keep high temperatures well below normal after the cool start.
The southerly lower level flow brings low clouds tonight, that will
only slowly mix out on Tuesday. A warming trend begins tonight into
Tuesday, although temperatures remain slightly below normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 156 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Dry weather is expected for Wednesday across South-Central Texas as
weak upper ridging will be in place across the region. Southerly
winds will be near 10-15 mph with temperatures maxing out in the 80s
to near 90 degrees. Most of the area will remain dry on Thursday,
but some changes will be noted as the next trough axis moves into
the Central Plains. Lows Thursday will be in the 60s to near 70 with
highs once again in the 80s to near 90. A weak axis of lift will
trail the parent trough into Friday with another trough passing
through the Central Plains this weekend. This will allow for low-
level southerly flow to increase which should lead to breezy
conditions Thursday through the weekend with sustained speeds in the
10-20 mph range through this period. Higher gusts can be expected as
850mb winds approach 50 knots at times through the weekend. This
increase in southerly flow will also allow for dewpoints and low-
level clouds to increase. This will lead to low temperatures Friday
through Sunday to be in the upper 60s to lower 70s within the humid
conditions.

In addition, the warm-air advection within the increase in southerly
flow will lead to low rain chances Friday - Sunday. Think most of
this activity will likely remain below the capping inversion, but
will include the mention of thunder in the official forecast. Highs
Thursday through the end of the period will warm from the 80s for
most locations into the upper 80s to upper 90s by Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR conditions will remain in place this afternoon with a few mid and
upper level clouds across the region. S-SE surface winds will
continue to draw moisture into the region through the period which
will lead to the development of widespread MVFR stratus tonight into
Tuesday morning. This stratus should start to lift and scatter some
towards the end of the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              55  78  65  84 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  52  77  64  83 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     54  79  65  85 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            54  78  64  82 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           63  87  69  91 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        53  77  64  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             55  79  65  85 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        53  78  64  84 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   54  77  65  83 /   0   0   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       56  77  66  84 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           57  79  67  85 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...04
Long-Term...29
Aviation...Gale