Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
000
FNUS52 KILM 191911
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall near the area through Sunday keeping the
weather unsettled. High pressure builds Monday and Tuesday.
Another cold front is due Thursday.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-201115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 30 90
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Rain
LAL 3 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 62 85 57 63
Max/Min RH (%) 98 51 87 68
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 NE 4 NE 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.09 0.24
Precip Duration 1 0 2 10
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 6 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/0900 1900 None
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 1900
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 NE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 34200
ADI Early 32 Fair 38 Fair 42 Gen Good 31 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 65 Good 13 Gen Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 4 3
Max LVORI Late 6 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-201115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 40 20 30 90
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers Rain
LAL 3 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 63 84 54 62
Max/Min RH (%) 100 47 72 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var N 4 NE 8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 NE 5 N 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.04 0.23
Precip Duration 1 0 2 10
Precip Begin 6 PM 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 5 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0900 2000 60/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 1900
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82500 38000
ADI Early 38 Fair 42 Gen Good 55 Gen Good 33 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 96 Good 16 Gen Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 9 3 3
Max LVORI Late 8 1 3 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
80 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 40 90
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Rain
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 85 57 64
Max/Min RH (%) 98 49 91 69
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 5 NE 4 N 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.07 0.03 0.14 0.19
Precip Duration 1 0 2 10
Precip Begin 6 PM 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 5 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 72/0900 1900 63/0600
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 2100
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88200 35700
ADI Early 25 Fair 40 Fair 37 Fair 33 Fair
ADI Late 7 Poor 97 Good 15 Gen Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-201115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 40 90
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers Rain
LAL 3 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 63 85 56 62
Max/Min RH (%) 97 49 85 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NW 5 NE 4 N 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.10 0.02 0.12 0.24
Precip Duration 1 0 2 10
Precip Begin 6 PM 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 5 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 58/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 2100
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81200 42000
ADI Early 37 Fair 43 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 35 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 94 Good 15 Gen Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 3
Max LVORI Late 6 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A E D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-201115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 30 90
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers Rain
LAL 3 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 63 83 54 59
Max/Min RH (%) 100 49 70 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 NW 4 N 4 NE 9 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NW 6 NE 6 N 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.21 0.02 0.05 0.24
Precip Duration 2 0 2 10
Precip Begin 6 PM 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 4 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 2000 59/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 4 3 2
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 2000
Transport Wind (mph) NW 14 NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 77000 40000
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 49 Gen Good 33 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 73 Good 18 Gen Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 8 3 3
Max LVORI Late 8 1 3 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$