Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 191911
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall near the area through Sunday keeping the
weather unsettled. High pressure builds Monday and Tuesday.
Another cold front is due Thursday.

Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.

NCZ105>110-201115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           30           90
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          62           85           57           63
Max/Min RH (%)        98           51           87           68
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  4        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  7 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      W  5         NE  4        NE  8 G18
Precip Amount         0.04         0.01         0.09         0.24
Precip Duration       1            0            2            10
Precip Begin          6 PM         2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            6 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         71/0900      1900         None
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6000                      1900
Transport Wind (mph)               W 14                      NE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 84000                     34200
ADI Early             32 Fair      38 Fair      42 Gen Good  31 Fair
ADI Late              7 Poor       65 Good      13 Gen Poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI Early       6            6            4            3
Max LVORI Late        6            1            4            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            E            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     40           20           30           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           84           54           62
Max/Min RH (%)        100          47           72           52
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  SE  5        Lgt/Var      N  4         NE  8 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NW  5        NE  5        N  9 G18
Precip Amount         0.09         0.00         0.04         0.23
Precip Duration       1            0            2            10
Precip Begin          6 PM         3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            5 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  2000         69/0900      2000         60/0600
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Haines Index          3            3            3            2
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5500                      1900
Transport Wind (mph)               W 15                      NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 82500                     38000
ADI Early             38 Fair      42 Gen Good  55 Gen Good  33 Fair
ADI Late              7 Poor       96 Good      16 Gen Poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI Early       6            9            3            3
Max LVORI Late        8            1            3            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            A            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
80 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-201115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           40           90
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   2            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          64           85           57           64
Max/Min RH (%)        98           49           91           69
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      W  5         NE  4        N  8 G17
Precip Amount         0.07         0.03         0.14         0.19
Precip Duration       1            0            2            10
Precip Begin          6 PM         3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            5 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         72/0900      1900         63/0600
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Haines Index          3            4            3            2
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    6300                      2100
Transport Wind (mph)               W 14                      N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 88200                     35700
ADI Early             25 Fair      40 Fair      37 Fair      33 Fair
ADI Late              7 Poor       97 Good      15 Gen Poor  33 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            6            5            4
Max LVORI Late        6            1            5            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            A            E            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-201115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     20           20           40           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           85           56           62
Max/Min RH (%)        97           49           85           61
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NE  8 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NW  5        NE  4        N  8 G17
Precip Amount         0.10         0.02         0.12         0.24
Precip Duration       1            0            2            10
Precip Begin          6 PM         3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            5 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         71/0900      1900         58/0600
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Haines Index          3            4            3            2
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5800                      2100
Transport Wind (mph)               W 14                      NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 81200                     42000
ADI Early             37 Fair      43 Gen Good  45 Gen Good  35 Fair
ADI Late              6 Very Poor  94 Good      15 Gen Poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            6            4            3
Max LVORI Late        6            1            4            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            A            E            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-201115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
311 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Cloudy
Precip Chance (%)     30           20           30           90
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Rain
LAL                   3            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          63           83           54           59
Max/Min RH (%)        100          49           70           53
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  S  4         NW  4        N  4         NE  9 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      NW  6        NE  6        N  9 G17
Precip Amount         0.21         0.02         0.05         0.24
Precip Duration       2            0            2            10
Precip Begin          6 PM         3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  1900         70/0900      2000         59/0600
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Fair
Haines Index          3            4            3            2
DSI                                2                         1
Mixing Hgt (ft)                    5500                      2000
Transport Wind (mph)               NW 14                     NE 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 77000                     40000
ADI Early             58 Gen Good  48 Gen Good  49 Gen Good  33 Fair
ADI Late              5 Very Poor  73 Good      18 Gen Poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            8            3            3
Max LVORI Late        8            1            3            3
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      E            B            D            D

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 96 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$


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